100K+ FRIENDS OF BUSH: NY PA FL OH NC IL MA NJ; FRIEND OF KERRY: TX

[TruthIsAll]

The irony.. Kerry did the Texas two-step. 
122,000 votes Blue-shifted from Bushland.
But he didn't need it. 
 
In other states, the ones he needed, Bush two-stepped all over
him.
Bush stole home in the East (Kerryland).


Percentages are for Kerry:
Time	Deviate	Exit	Final	Vote	Vote
Zone	to:    Poll	Vote	PctDev	Dev
East 
.....22 Bush 55.11	52.31	-2.80%	-1724
	0 Kerry				

Central 
.....11 Bush 46.10	44.01	-2.08%	-467
	5 Kerry	36.72	38.68	1.97%	203
					
Mountain	
.......5 Bush 41.86	39.70	-2.15%	-130
      1 Kerry 39.28	39.51	0.22%	1
					
Pacific	
.......3 Bush 50.31	48.32	-1.99%	-118
	2 Kerry 52.27	53.17	0.90%	18
					
Total	
.......43 Bush 48.34	46.09	-2.26%	-2439
       8 Kerry 42.76	43.79	1.03%	222


Vote Deviation (in thousands)

Rich Friends of Bush:
1	NY	376
2	PA	188
3	FL	186
4	OH	185
5	NC	125
6	IL	112
7	MA	108
8	NJ	107
9	MN	80
10	AL	75
11	VA	73
12	SC	72
13	CA	64
14	CT	50
15	GA	50
16	AR	44
17	WA	41
18	MI	39
19	MS	37
20	IN	37
21	CO	36
22	LA	36
23	NH	32
24	MO	31
25	NE	31
26	UT	26
27	MD	19
28	IA	17
29	AZ	16
30	VT	16
31	NV	16
32	RI	16
33	ID	15
34	NM	14
35	KY	14
36	WV	13
37	AK	12
38	DE	10
39	WY	6
40	OK	4
41	DC	4
42	ME	3
43	WI	0

Poor Friends of Kerry:
1	MT	1
2	HI	4
3	SD	6
4	ND	8
5	OR	14
6	KS	28
7	TN	39
8	TX	122

[dandrhesse]

1. Things are getting pretty dicey in congress I think the timing is looking

pretty good, what do you think?

[FogerRox]

2. Stuff in DC--I forgot the Conyers bill though:

Important Legislative efforts in Washington D.C.

Rep. Rush Holt (NJ-12) this week reintroduced the Voter Confidence and Increased Accessibility Act, H.R. 550 (the successor to H.R. 2239 of the 108th Congress), which would amend the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) to require a voter-verified paper record for all votes cast in federal elections.
You can use the link below to find out who your Representative is and how to contact them. Just input your zip code in the space about half way down the page and click on "GO."

http://www.peacecoalition.org/action/index.html#urgentaction

VIVA 2005 makes Voter Verified Paper Ballots mandatory for federal elections.
Senator Ensign (R-NV) will introduce VIVA 2005 if other Republican Senators will cosponsor this worthy bill. Joan Krawitz, Andy Stephensen, Warren Stewart, and Cheryl Lilienstein, of the National Ballot Integrity Project, will be in Washington DC urging Republican Senators to cosponsor VIVA 2005, this Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. Please help us by making the phones of Republican Senators ring. Urge them to cosponsor VIVA 2005. Since VIVA will be part of HAVA, it will go into effect immediately. Senator Dodd of Conn. has a bill (S17) that won’t do anything until 2009.

US Capitol Switchboard: [phone]. Monday-Friday 9 AM to 5 PM. For more information, legislation text, rationale, and a direct phone line, link here:

http://www.ballotintegrity.org/action.html.

HR 10-

page 33; Extraneous Provision 1: Intelligence Reorganization Authority
House Bill: Section 5021 grants the President expedited reorganization authority
for the entire intelligence community.

page 33; Extraneous Provision 2: Avoiding Senate Confirmation for
Senior Intelligence Officials
House Bill: Section 5041 provides that senior intelligence and national security
officials, including the Director of Central Intelligence, the Secretaries of the Air
Force, Army, and Navy, and the Deputy Secretaries of the Departments of
Defense, State, and Homeland Security do not need Senate confirmation if the
Senate fails to act on their nomination within 30 legislative days.

Page 35; Extraneous Provision 8: Limiting Financial Disclosure for the
Intelligence Community
House Bill: Section 5043 amends the Ethics in Government Act of 1978 by
reducing public disclosure of the income and assets of the heads of intelligence
agencies. Found on this PDF:

http://democrats.reform.house.gov/Documents/20041015154437-75297.pdf



For additional information contact [e-mail]

[seaclyr]

3. It's interesting that TX and TN are friends of Kerry looked at this way

because in other ways of course they were very, very good friends of Bush, for example making relatively huge contributions to his "mandate."

I roughly calculated what we might call "new friends of Bush" relative to 2000 from the uselectionatlas numbers at the end of last year (so they may be a little out of date). The numbers came out this way:

2004-2000 vote diff = (Bush votes - Kerry votes) in 2004 minus (Bush votes - Gore votes) in 2000. The last column is the percent of the 2004 state total that this difference represents.

State, 2004-2000 vote diff, % 2004 total
FL 380700 5
NY 352000 4.8
TX 328100 4.4
TN 267500 11.1
NJ 264000 7.3
GA 243900 7.3
AL 233000 12.2
OK 185000 12.6
IN 167000 6.7
LA 146000 7.7
KY 125000 6.9
MO 118300 4.4
AZ 114000 5.7
UT 113500 12.2


Both TX and TN rank high on this list, the numbers being 4.4% for TX and 11.1% for TN of total 2004 votes for the individual states.

So, I'm wondering why TX and TN weren't good friends of Bush with regard to exit poll vs. "actuals." A possibility that comes to me is that (a) it wasn't necessary, i.e. they already had sufficient votes in these states (quite possibly fitting into a preconceived plan), and that (b) the "new friends of Bush" numbers (already large) would look even odder if another 6% or so were added to them. Any thoughts on this?

[Clark2008]

5. Well, Triad has machines all throughout TN

for one thing.

But, in any case, TN was a swing state up until September (even going "blue" for most of July).
However, the Kerry campaign squandered this advantage and only appeared in the state ONCE - and it wasn't even a rally. It was a speech to some veteran's group.
I think if the Democratic Party wouldn't write off the South and would actually campaign in some of the border states (Ark, TN, Va, WVa.) they might actually start flipping some of them.
My city, while still mired in a highly red county, went blue for the first time ever in a presidential race this year.

[seaclyr]

6. Yeah, so the Republicans (in theory) could have squeezed even

more votes out of TX and TN (to add to the "mandate") by applying the 3% "correction" (resulting in an additional 6% difference) in these states too. After all, as you point out, Triad was in TN, it wouldn't have been too hard, perhaps. My question is, if they could do it (as apparently they did in many other states) why didn't they do it in TX and TN?

[dzika]

4. WTF? - NY deviates 376,000 votes to Bush?

Twice as many as any other state? 3 times as many as Kerry's highest deviation in TX.

So, does this mean that 10% of the Bush "mandate" came from New Yorkers?

I don't think so. Those exit polls keep screwing with an otherwise perfectly fraudulent election.

[1democracy]

7. Massachusetts

It looks like 108,000 votes deviated to Bush in Massachusetts. I am planning a conversation with my Town Clerk about how the election was run. (He is a Democrat). What questions should I ask about the Accuvote system? It is a scanned ballot card. Should I ask about the tabulator? Connections to the Internet? Where would the red shift have occurred? I live in a town of 20,000, registered voters about 8,000. What # of votes would you expect were shifted in a town of this size? I'm sure I could look at the list of registered voters and compare the count with the number of votes. I could find out # ballots without a vote for president, ... What Else? We had no problem with the machines.
Or perhaps you are not theorizing there were vote shifts here...

[seaclyr]

8. kick! n/t

:kick: