Modified Zogby shows K over B in 14 out of 16 FL-OH-CO-NV-scenarios

[scottxyz]

My modified Zogby has Kerry beating Bush in 14 out of the 16
possible scenarios involving the 4 in-play states FL, OH, CO
and NV.

Bear with me - this is an Excel spreadsheet I threw together
based on the Zogby 5pm EST Electoral College call.

Zogby has K=264 and B=213 not including Florida, Ohio,
Colorado and Nevada.  http://www.zogby.com/

Flip a coin 4 times (for Zogby's 4 in-play states: FL, OH, CO
and NV) and there are 16 (ie, 2 times 2 times 2 times 2)
possible outcomes. 

The only 2 outcomes in the 16 where Bush wins are:
- Bush takes all four in-play states: FL, OH, CO and NV
- Bush takes FL, OH, CO - and Kerry only takes NV (tie - goes
to B)

The other 14 outcomes have Kerry winning!

	27	20	9	5	213	264	538
Winner	FL	OH	CO	NV	B	K	USA

B	B	B	B	B	274	264	538
B	B	B	B	K	269	269	538 (tie: B)

K	B	B	K	B	265	273	538
K	B	B	K	K	260	278	538
K	B	K	B	B	254	284	538
K	B	K	B	K	249	289	538
K	B	K	K	B	245	293	538
K	B	K	K	K	240	298	538
K	K	B	B	B	247	291	538
K	K	B	B	K	242	296	538
K	K	B	K	B	238	300	538
K	K	B	K	K	233	305	538
K	K	K	B	B	227	311	538
K	K	K	B	K	222	316	538
K	K	K	K	B	218	320	538
K	K	K	K	K	213	325	538

[SoCalDemocrat]

1. keep this updated

Lets keep this updated.

[Tellurian]

2. Thanks, scottxyz...

I've been keeping the Zogby poll screen open on my monitor, comparing their predictions to the actuals. So far so good..

Thanks for the update.