Webb closing in on Allen

[AlecBGreen]

via Daily KOS

GOP Allen's Once Large Lead Evaporates

In an election for the United States Senate in Virginia today, 8/21/06, incumbent Republican George Allen edges Democrat challenger James Webb 48% to 45%, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for WUSA-TV Washington DC.

Since an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6/28/06, Allen has lost 8 points and Webb has gained 8 points. Allen's lead has shrunk from 19 points to 3 points.

[demdiva]

1. WOW! How great !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[AlecBGreen]

2. more good news

from Not Larry Sabato -

Here's a profile of the small number of undecided voters, courtesy of Survey USA:

Sex: 61% Women, 39% Men
- This makes women even more important going into November- the gender gap is already large. Advantage: Webb

Age: 60% Under 49, 40% Over 50
A lot of undecideds are young people, or young families. Advantage: Webb

Race: 61% White, 39% Minority
Minorities almost double their influence from the overall population in the undecided voter pool. Advantage: Webb

Party: 42% Independent, 41% Democratic, 17% Republican. Advantage: Webb

Ideology: 52% Moderate, 26% Conservative, 22% Liberal. Conservative ideology usually leads liberal by a huge margin in the general electorate, so the undecideds being so close means, once again: Advantage: Webb

Bush: 20% Approve, 80% Disapprove. Advantage: Webb

Area: 61% Suburban, 27% Urban, 12% Rural. Advantage: Webb

Marriage Amendment: 74% Yes, 26% No. Advantage: Allen

Of the eight indicators, seven show a favorable environment for Webb among undecided voters. That coupled with Allen's lead within the margin of error makes this a heckuva race going into Labor Day.

[spooky3]

3. keep it going!

[ernstbass]

4. Ah sweet nectar of victory

I can smell it and I plan to be drinking this sweet nectar on election night!!!!! I'm doing a little dance here at my desk!!