from BOR:
http://www.burntorangereport.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=935Last week, you may have been contacted by a research firm hired by the Glen Maxey Campaign to conduct a phone survey of delegates. Among delegates that have made up their mind, Glen Maxey is firmly in the lead. However, the majority of delegates remain undecided. Both Maxey and Richie begin the race with a sizable base. Glen Maxey's base is larger, and he leads in all urban areas and most rural parts of Texas.
LSI Phone Survey N=1168
Maxey 24.9%
Richie 13.4%
Jones 2.6%
Und 59.1%
No surprises in these numbers, in my humble O. Not even the apparent and obvious weakness of Boyd Richie's support.
But delegates polled don't represent delegation strength to a predictable degree, and no poll can measure the party machinery's pressure for their choice -- applied to, and through to the delegations, by the incumbent SDEC members who have known Boyd for decades and will stick together for him. I find this somewhat comical, since we'll actually get to see with our own eyes how much these folks can/will do relative to actual politicking -- with their collective reputation of doing 'nothing'.
And younger delegates are under-represented in the polling, as only land lines were dialed, not cell numbers. I suspicion that delegates with only cell numbers are likely to support Maxey.
One last personal tidbit: my wife took this call and responded "undecided, but leaning to Maxey", so I do not know where our two votes fall in that poll. But since Glen did the polling, I can guess. ;)
Disclosure: I remain "publicly" uncommitted (but likely to cast a vote in the first round for Charlie just to see where the true strength of each candidate lies). Since it's a four-way race and the winner has to have 50% plus one, the real race is to make the runoff Saturday evening. At least Diebold isn't doing the counting. (Who
does count the votes, by the way?)
Conclusion: There's going to be some blood-letting in Fort Worth.
And the cold hard truth: Our statewide ballot candidates are going to have to get elected without the state party's help -- as DVO has already cogently pointed out in another thread -- because it will remain profoundly dysfunctional following the blood-letting.
So the practical conclusion remains that the Texas Democratic Party will be largely irrelevant to our success in the fall elections. Whoever gets elected in June isn't going to be able to make a dime's worth of difference in November because they won't have the money and they won't have the unity.
Which means to me that we're going to have to work our asses off for our campaign(s) anyway and that IMHO it's best to dispense with complaining about "the little office on Rio Grande", as one of my favorite pontificators who isn't named David puts it.