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How safe is Paul Sarbanes Senate seat?

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LynneSin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 12:25 PM
Original message
How safe is Paul Sarbanes Senate seat?
Edited on Thu Mar-24-05 12:25 PM by LynneSin
Trying to figure out how to allot my time in 2006 for campaigning between helping oust Rick Sanitarium up in PA and getting rid of Ehrlich in your state.

Now I find out Sarbanes is retiring :cry: I really liked the guy - great liberal senator. Is his seat safe or is there a repuke that could give the democrats a run for the position. I just keep seeing repuke ideology creeping northward and worried that Maryland may fall next.

Is the seat safe (and can we get Ehrlich out of the statehouse?)
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aintitfunny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 12:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. I believe we will be able to oust Erlich
and I think O'Malley is the man to do it. As for Sarbanes seat, I tend to lean toward Mfume, who was once my Congressman, and some appear to think that he would not be the best choice, especially in a match-up against Lt. Guv. Steele. See this thread

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=157&topic_id=1129&mesg_id=1129

There is concern that so many are going to be in the running for the seat but I believe if we stick together in the end we will keep the seat.
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LynneSin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Well, I'm sure I'll make a few trips to MD just to help out the cause
I like having all my neighbors in the Blue. Getting rid of Santorum & Elrlich would be just the thing we need to do!!
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aintitfunny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Thank you Neigbor
I am with you 100%
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
2. Not Safe At All. Maryland's Votes Are Counted By...

We Make Democracy DIE
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LynneSin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Oh yeah, I remember, my friend was an MD election judge
She said hackers found 16 ways to break into the machines and yet your idiot governor didn't think it was important to fix the issue
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Zuni Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-26-05 02:18 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. I remember the Circuit Court in Anne Arundel Co.
found that there is very little chance of hacking into Diebold! True Vote MD tried to take the County to Court, but the Judge apparently couldn't take his head out of his anus.
:grr:
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nickshepDEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 04:29 PM
Response to Original message
5. It depends on who we run and who they run.
The Republican bench in Maryland is very thin. The Democratic bench in Maryland is DEEP. Id say if we run Ben Cardin, Chris Van Hollen, or Steny Hoyer we will win big.
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DaveinMD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-24-05 08:20 PM
Response to Original message
7. it will likely be competitive
but I think we'll win. I'd guess 55-45.
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LocalDem Donating Member (124 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 09:14 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Morrill
Hey Dave, what's the scoop on CVH's hire, Mike Morrill? You like it?
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DaveinMD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-29-05 11:31 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. I know Mike
He's a great guy. He's had a tough job working for Senator Mikulski for a very long time. He was her Communications Director for a long time and more recently ran her re-election campaign. Very good at what he does.
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Zuni Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-26-05 02:16 AM
Response to Original message
8. If Michael Steele is the GOP candidate, then we may have a tough race
He is black and doesn't talk like a wingnut, although he is leaning in that direction. He theoretically could siphon off black votes in Baltimore City and Prince Georges County, two Democratic strongholds.
I personally think we should nominate Ben cardin, who is very well liked, and is my congressman. Kwesi Mfume is fine with me, but the GOP will paint him as some Black Panther type extremist radical who hates white people.

I think Ehrlich will be gone. Mayor O'Malley will whip him six ways from Sunday, especially as Ehrlich is turning more and more rightward after he ran as a moderate in 2002. His buddy-buddy relationship with Bush won't help him in MD.
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