"The Coming Republican Wave?"

[Robb]

http://demnotes.com/?p=506">The Coming Republican Wave?

If you’re like me, you’ve probably read a lot about the coming Republican wave. It has been the narrative of nearly every news story about the 2010 election. Indeed, most news agencies have assumed that 2010 will be a massive Republican landslide – overtaking Democrats everywhere. Most polling has also taken that assumption when they develop their “likely voter” models.

What we’ve been told is that Republicans will show up to vote in droves; conversely, we’re told that the Democrats will stay home in massive numbers. It makes for a great storyline — and it gives talking heads something to discuss when they would rather not focus on the issues or the latest flip-flop by Ken Buck.

Here’s the problem with that narrative: the facts aren’t supporting it.

In Colorado, a massive percentage of the electorate votes early. Many vote by mail, and others vote at early vote centers. With the technology that we have, we can see who has voted already and who has not. And we can tell whether those voting are Democrats, Republicans, or Unaffiliated. What we’re learning is that 2010 is shaping up to look a lot more like 2006 — when the Democrats won a lot of close races — than 1994......

http://demnotes.com/?p=506">Read More.....

[DavidDvorkin]

1. Thanks. I'm looking for encouragement and optimism wherever I can find it.

In Colorado, I hope the pollsters' estimates are missing the Hispanic voters in the southern part of the state, and I'm also hoping that they'll be voting in large numbers because of the gubernatorial ticket.

[pasto76]

2. I just want a fair election

of course I want Dems to win, but if repubs win without large voter/ballot problems I can accept that too.

[CanonRay]

4. We've been canvassing Huerfano, Las Animas and Pueblo

and see a lot of support for our candidate down there. Not as common to early vote, thought.

[madamesilverspurs]

3. Bennet 43% - Buck 42% (10-27)

http://www.coloradopols.com/diary/14273/colorado-polsrbi-poll-bennet-43-buck-42

[denverbill]

5. I think it's a good thing I've waited to fill in my ballot.

I'm no big fan of Hickenlooper or Bennett. In fact, I was of the opinion that we might just be better off with Tancredo and Buck since then we would have to have NEW Democratic candidates in 2014 and 2016. Luckily for both Hick and Bennett, Buck and Tancredo are busy saying the making the most disgusting comments lately, with Buck saying people need to lose their assets to pay for healthcare and Tancredo saying Obama is anti-white, that I may just vote for Hick and Bennett after all instead of voting a third party protest vote.

[Robb]

6. Glad to hear it.

:hi: