That's why I trust the Indies.
9/27 electoral-vote.com (includes Repub leaners Survey-USA,
Gallup, Mason-Dixon, Strategic Vision,Badger)
Kerry:
255 EV,
Proj. 49.92%,
Win Prob 29%,
Current Weighted National equiv:
Kerry 45.20%,
Bush 46.94%
9/23 Zogby/ARG (Independents)
Kerry:
300 EV,
Proj. 50.85%,
Win Prob 91%,
Current Weighted National equiv:
Kerry 46.49%,
Bush 46.24%
9/27 electoral-vote.com....................9/23 Zogby/ARG
Kerry Bush electoral-vote.com STATE Kerry Bush
39 55 Rasmussen-14 AL 40 54
30 57 American Res. Group AK 30 57
43 54 Survey USA-3 AZ 43 49
45 48 American Res. Group-3 AR 45 48
48 43 Strategic Vision (R)-3 CA 52 41
44 52 Survey USA-3 CO 45 46
54 39 American Res. Group-3 CT 54 39
50 41 American Res. Group-3 DE 50 41
78 11 American Res. Group-3 DC 78 11
49 48 Rasmussen-7 FL 46 45
42 53 Rasmussen-14 GA 42 53
51 41 American Res. Group HI 51 41
30 59 American Res. Group ID 30 59
49 40 Market Shares-4 IL 51 42
39 54 American Res. Group-5 IN 39 54
45 48 Opinion Dynamics-2 IA 45 47
35 57 American Res. Group-4 KS 35 57
38 53 Bluegrass Poll KY 39 57
42 50 American Res. Group-5 LA 42 50
46 47 Survey USA-3 ME 48 44
48 48 Survey USA MD 52 43
64 27 American Res. Group MA 64 27
48 44 Rasmussen-7 MI 48 40
46 46 Rasmussen-7 MN 47 45
42 51 American Res. Group-4 MS 42 51
44 50 American Res. Group-4 MO 44 50
36 54 Mason-Dixon-3 MT 36 54
30 61 American Res. Group NE 30 61
46 48 Gallup-4 NV 45 47
46 46 Research 2000-4 NH 46 46
47 43 Quinnipiac Univ.-4 NJ 50 42
43 47 Mason-Dixon-2 NM 49 44
51 31 Sienna College-4 NY 52 40
44 49 American Res. Group-4 NC 44 49
33 62 American Res. Group ND 33 62
44 48 Opinion Dynamics-2 OH 46 48
33 64 Survey USA-3 OK 38 55
47 48 Survey USA-3 OR 47 45
48 45 Rasmussen-7 PA 48 45
55 37 Survey USA-3 RI 55 37
42 51 Rasmussen-7 SC 42 51
39 58 American Res. Group SD 39 58
41 55 Survey USA-3 TN 43 50
37 58 Survey USA-3 TX 36 58
27 64 American Res. Group UT 27 64
50 40 American Res. Group VT 50 40
42 53 Survey USA-3 VA 43 49
46 45 Strategic Vision (R)-3 WA 51 44
42 51 Gallup-4 WV 46 46
38 52 Badger Poll-7 WI 50.30 47.90
29 65 American Res. Group WY 29 65
43.63 48.84 Average 44.65 47.82