American Research Group polls all 50 states

[ButterflyBlood]

interesting results:

# George W. Bush is at 47% and John Kerry is at 46% in the weighted national popular vote.
# Bush leads outside the margin of error in 17 states with 133 electoral votes.
# Kerry leads outside the margin of error in 10 states with 132 electoral votes.
# Bush has any lead in 29 states with 253 electoral votes.
# Kerry has any lead in 20 states with 270 electoral votes.
# Bush and Kerry are tied in Wisconsin and West Virginia.
# Bush needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
# Kerry needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Maine, Florida, Minnesota, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.
# Among men nationwide, 51% say they would vote for Bush and 42% say they would vote for Kerry.
# Among women nationwide, 42% say they would vote for Bush and 50% say they would vote for Kerry.

www.americanresearchgroup.com

what this means, is all Kerry has to do is take the lead in Wisconsin or WV, or pick up CO, IA, NV, NH or OH, and he's basically got it in the bag as long as he holds on to Pennsylvania.