electoral vote.com/race2004.net question their own polling: As Inaccurate!

[xyboymil]

I found 2 snips on both web sites worth noting. Both web sites that track polling data now are questioning whether their data is accurate anymore because no polling source polls voters who have cell phones. That is 168 million people!

These tend to be young voters (18-34) who break for John Kerry 2-1 but have no way of being polled.

snip-

"Jimmy Breslin of Newsday had an column yesterday that, if true, makes this website irrelevant. Breslin claims that pollsters do not call the 168 million cell phones in the country. Since many younger voters do not have a land line and just a cell phone, they will be hugely underrepresented in all the telephone polls. Since younger voters lean more towards the Democrats than the average voter, the polls may be greatly underestimating Kerry's strength."

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

snip-

"Am I wasting my time? This column says that political polling is inaccurate because it does not reflect one key groups: (primarily younger) voters who use only cell phones.

One can add onto the article a second group: overseas voters, both active military and civilian."

http://www.race2004.net

How many times have we heard this?

When you see these damn poll results: PLEASE NOTE THE ABOVE!!!!and calm down!

I TRULY believe this country will be in shock on November 3rd when they find John Kerry not only won, but blew out * by a landslide.

:nuke: :nuke:

[yellerpup]

1. When you're right, you're right.

A landslide! Fer sure.

[cheshire]

2. I'm still hoping they are jusy behind. I see all polls online are the same

[Hamlette]

3. does anyone have numbers on overseas voters?

From what I'm hearing from civilians overseas, they are voting this year and not for Bush, but I admit I don't have any Bush loving friends here or abroad. Could they be the deciding factor? How many military are stationed abroad vs civilians? Anyone know?

[michigandem2]

5. i saw a little story on the news about overseas voters

and given that they get the news we can't get or better, WON'T report...they know more than most of the Americans that live here..I can't imagine a whole lot of those folks will be in line to vote for *...

here is hoping the young voters, the overseas voters and the millions of people like US get out and vote and put Kerry/Edwards WAY over the top...so we dont' need recounts! WOOHOO!

[shrub chipper]

4. I, too, think it will be a landslide.

Shrub does not have a solitary thing to run on!!

[okieinpain]

6. well I won't be in shock, I'm going to be running up and down the

street buck ass naked yelling at the top of my lungs kerry wins, kerry wins, kerry wins.

but I guess you could take that as a sign of being in shock huh!