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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-19-04 06:10 PM
Original message
Want to see how the pollsters did in 2000?
Edited on Sun Sep-19-04 06:50 PM by TruthIsAll
I just put on my old computer and saw the info.
Here is one Excel file:

Final Polls -2000
	BUSH	GORE	NADER
ABC	49	45	3
CBS	46	42	5 < with NYT
CNN	48	46	4 < GALLUP POLL
IBD	48	39	3
ICR	46	44	7
NBC	47	46	4
NWK	45	43	5
PEW	46	43	3
ZOG	46	48	4 < Best
HAR	47	47	5 < close 2nd
			
Avg   46.8	44.3	4.3

Actual 48	48.5	2.7

DETAIL
G+N-B = Gore+Nader-Bush (I assumed Gore would get the Nader
vote)

Poll	G+N-B	  Date	BUSH	Gore	Nader
ABC #	 (2.50)	5-Nov	49	45	3
ABC #	 (2.50)	4-Nov	49	45	3
ABC #	 (1.50)	2-Nov	48	45	3
ABC #	 (2.50)	1-Nov	49	45	3
ABC #	 (2.50)	31-Oct	49	45	3
ABC #	 (1.50)	30-Oct	48	45	3
ABC #	 1.00 	28-Oct	47	46	4
ABC #	 1.00 	27-Oct	47	46	4
ABC #	 (2.00)	26-Oct	49	45	4
ABC #	 (1.50)	25-Oct	48	45	3
ABC #	 (0.50)	24-Oct	48	46	3
ABC #	 (0.50)	24-Oct	48	46	3
ABC #	 0.50 	23-Oct	47	46	3
ABC #	 1.50 	22-Oct	47	47	3
ABC #	 (1.50)	21-Oct	48	45	3
ABC #	 (1.50)	20-Oct	48	45	3
ABC #	 (3.50)	19-Oct	48	43	3
ABC #	 (2.50)	18-Oct	48	44	3
ABC #	 (3.50)	17-Oct	48	43	3
ABC/WP	 (2.00)	15-Oct	48	44	4
ABC/WP ^	 4.50 	1-Oct	44	47	3
ABC/WP ^	 1.50 	6-Sep	47	47	3
ABC/WP ^	 5.50 	20-Aug	44	48	3
ABC/WP ^	 (5.50)	10-Aug	50	42	5

CBS * ^	 4.00 	20-Aug	44	45	6
CBS * ^	 (13.50)	6-Aug	50	34	5
CBS ^	 3.00 	6-Nov	44	45	4
CBS ^	 -   	3-Nov	46	44	4
CBS ^	 2.00 	31-Oct	45	45	4
CBS/NYT ^	 (1.50)	5-Nov	46	42	5
CBS/NYT ^	 (2.50)	4-Nov	47	42	5
CBS/NYT ^	 -   	21-Oct	46	44	4
CBS/NYT ^	 6.00 	1-Oct	41	45	4
CBS/NYT ^	 6.00 	11-Sep	42	46	4

CNN/TIME	 (4.50)	26-Oct	49	43	3
CNN/TIME	 3.00 	7-Sep	46	47	4
CNN/TIME	 (12.00)	10-Aug	53	39	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP	 0.50 	27-Aug	46	45	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP	 2.50 	19-Aug	46	47	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP	 (15.00)	12-Aug	55	39	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 -   	6-Nov	48	46	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 -   	5-Nov	47	45	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (3.00)	4-Nov	48	43	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (1.50)	3-Nov	47	43	5
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (3.50)	2-Nov	48	42	5
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (2.00)	1-Nov	47	43	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (3.50)	31-Oct	48	43	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (1.50)	30-Oct	47	44	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (5.50)	28-Oct	49	42	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (5.50)	27-Oct	49	42	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (11.00)	26-Oct	52	39	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (5.50)	25-Oct	49	42	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (5.50)	25-Oct	49	42	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (3.50)	24-Oct	48	43	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 2.50 	23-Oct	45	46	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 -   	22-Oct	46	44	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (7.50)	21-Oct	50	41	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (9.00)	20-Oct	51	40	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (8.00)	19-Oct	50	40	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (7.50)	18-Oct	49	39	5
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (4.00)	17-Oct	48	42	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (1.50)	16-Oct	47	44	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (1.50)	15-Oct	47	44	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 2.00 	1-Oct	45	45	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 2.00 	30-Sep	45	45	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 4.00 	29-Sep	44	46	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 -   	28-Sep	46	44	4
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 1.50 	27-Sep	46	46	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (1.00)	26-Sep	46	44	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (1.00)	25-Sep	46	44	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (2.00)	24-Sep	47	44	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 (0.50)	23-Sep	47	46	1
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 3.50 	22-Sep	45	48	1
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 9.00 	21-Sep	42	50	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 11.50 	20-Sep	41	51	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 7.50 	19-Sep	43	49	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 5.00 	18-Sep	44	48	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 6.50 	17-Sep	43	48	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 9.50 	16-Sep	41	49	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 7.50 	15-Sep	42	48	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 8.00 	14-Sep	42	49	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 8.50 	13-Sep	42	49	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 10.00 	12-Sep	41	49	4
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP #	 8.00 	11-Sep	42	48	4
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP #	 8.50 	10-Sep	42	49	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 4.00 	9-Sep	44	47	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 -   	8-Sep	46	45	2
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 4.50 	7-Sep	43	46	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP #	 4.50 	6-Sep	44	47	3
CNN/USA/GALLUP *	 -   	7-Aug	45	43	4

CSM/IBD/TIPP ^	 (0.50)	15-Oct	44	42	3

DEMCORPS (D) 	 5.00 	30-Sep	44	47	4
DEMCORPS (D) ^	 2.50 	31-Oct	45	45	5
DEMCORPS (D) ^	 4.50 	25-Oct	44	46	5
DEMCORPS (D) ^	 5.00 	9-Sep	43	46	4
DEMCORPS (D) ^	 (6.00)	10-Aug	48	39	6

FOX	 6.00 	24-Aug	40	44	4
FOX	 (3.50)	10-Aug	46	40	5
FOX	 (1.00)	19-Oct	45	42	4
FOX	 2.00 	21-Sep	43	43	4
FOX	 3.50 	7-Sep	43	45	3

HARRIS * ^	 4.00 	14-Aug	42	43	6
HARRIS ^	 2.50 	5-Nov	47	47	5
HARRIS ^	 (2.50)	26-Oct	48	43	5
HARRIS ^	 9.50 	17-Sep	41	49	3
HOTLINE ^	 1.00 	7-Sep	43	43	2

IBD/CSM	 0.50 	22-Oct	44	42	5
IBD/CSM^ #	 (7.50)	4-Nov	48	39	3
IBD/CSM ^ #	 (3.50)	2-Nov	47	42	3
IBD/CSM #	 (3.50)	1-Nov	48	43	3
IBD/CSM ^ #	 (2.50)	31-Oct	47	43	3
IBD/E&P ^	 2.00 	10-Sep	42	42	4

ICR * ^	 6.00 	28-Aug	41	44	6
ICR * ^	 6.00 	22-Aug	41	44	6
ICR * ^	 (7.00)	13-Aug	45	35	6
ICR ^	 (2.00)	5-Nov	46	44	7
ICR ^	 2.00 	22-Oct	43	41	8
ICR ^	 0.50 	15-Oct	42	39	7
ICR ^	 8.00 	24-Sep	40	46	4
ICR ^	 5.00 	17-Sep	42	44	6
ICR ^	 11.50 	10-Sep	38	47	5
LAT ^	 (5.00)	25-Sep	48	42	2
LAT ^	 (11.00)	13-Aug	52	40	2

MARIST COLLEGE	 (4.00)	2-Nov	49	44	2
MARIST COLLEGE	 (1.00)	1-Oct	47	45	2

NBC	 (0.50)	18-Oct	45	43	3
NBC * ^	 4.00 	17-Aug	43	46	2
NBC * ^	 (8.00)	3-Aug	47	36	6
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL	 1.00 	5-Nov	47	46	4
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL	 (1.00)	4-Nov	47	44	4
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL	 (3.50)	15-Oct	48	42	5
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL * ^	 7.00 	9-Oct	41	46	4
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL * ^	 5.00 	10-Sep	42	45	4
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL * ^	 (0.50)	11-Aug	44	41	5

NEWSWEEK	 0.50 	2-Nov	45	43	5
NEWSWEEK	 (6.00)	27-Oct	49	41	4
NEWSWEEK	 (4.50)	20-Oct	48	41	5
NEWSWEEK	 5.50 	6-Oct	41	44	5
NEWSWEEK	 0.50 	29-Sep	45	44	3
NEWSWEEK	 3.50 	22-Sep	45	47	3
NEWSWEEK	 15.50 	15-Sep	38	52	3
NEWSWEEK	 9.00 	8-Sep	41	49	2
NEWSWEEK *	 11.50 	31-Aug	39	49	3
NEWSWEEK *	 7.50 	18-Aug	42	48	3
NEWSWEEK *	 (8.50)	11-Aug	48	38	3
NEWSWEEK * ^	 (8.50)	4-Aug	49	38	5

PEW	 (1.50)	4-Nov	46	43	3
PEW *	 7.00 	10-Sep	41	47	2

ZOGBY:
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 2.00 	6-Nov	46	48	4 
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.50 	5-Nov	47	46	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.00 	4-Nov	46	44	6
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (1.00)	3-Nov	46	42	6
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (0.50)	2-Nov	45	42	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (0.50)	1-Nov	45	42	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (3.00)	31-Oct	46	41	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (0.50)	29-Oct	45	42	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.50 	28-Oct	44	43	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.50 	27-Oct	44	43	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 4.00 	26-Oct	43	45	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 4.00 	25-Oct	43	45	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 4.50 	25-Oct	43	45	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 5.00 	24-Oct	42	45	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 0.50 	23-Oct	44	42	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 0.50 	22-Oct	44	42	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (1.50)	21-Oct	45	41	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.00 	20-Oct	45	44	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 2.00 	19-Oct	44	44	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.50 	18-Oct	44	43	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 3.00 	17-Oct	43	43	6
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 2.00 	16-Oct	44	43	6
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.50 	15-Oct	43	42	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (2.00)	14-Oct	44	41	2
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 (2.00)	13-Oct	45	41	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.00 	12-Oct	43	42	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 2.00 	11-Oct	43	43	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.00 	10-Oct	43	42	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.00 	9-Oct	43	42	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 3.00 	8-Oct	42	43	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 5.00 	7-Oct	42	45	4
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 7.00 	6-Oct	41	45	6
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 8.00 	5-Oct	41	46	6
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 9.50 	4-Oct	40	46	7
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 7.50 	3-Oct	41	46	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 8.50 	2-Oct	40	46	5
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 5.50 	1-Oct	41	45	3
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 5.50 	1-Oct	41	45	3
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 3.50 	30-Sep	43	45	3
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 1.50 	29-Sep	44	44	3
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ #	 2.50 	28-Sep	43	44	3
ZOGBY ^	 (0.50)	23-Sep	44	42	3
REUTERS/ZOGBY ^	 6.50 	20-Sep	41	45	5
REUTERS/ZOGBY ^	 9.00 	12-Sep	39	46	4
REUTERS/ZOGBY ^	 8.50 	6-Sep	40	46	5
REUTERS/ZOGBY ^	 5.50 	20-Aug	41	44	5
REUTERS/ZOGBY ^	 0.50 	13-Aug	43	40	7
REUTERS/ZOGBY ^	 (14.00)	6-Aug	49	32	6

TODAY/GALLUP #	 (4.00)	14-Oct	48	43	2
TODAY/GALLUP #	 (3.00)	13-Oct	48	44	2
TODAY/GALLUP #	 1.00 	12-Oct	45	45	2
TODAY/GALLUP #	 2.00 	11-Oct	45	46	2
TODAY/GALLUP #	 2.00 	10-Oct	45	45	4
TODAY/GALLUP #	 (1.00)	9-Oct	47	44	4
TODAY/GALLUP #	 (6.00)	8-Oct	50	42	4
TODAY/GALLUP #	 (6.00)	7-Oct	49	41	4
TODAY/GALLUP #	 (5.00)	6-Oct	48	41	4
TODAY/GALLUP #	 3.00 	5-Oct	44	45	4
TODAY/GALLUP #	 12.00 	4-Oct	40	51	2
TODAY/GALLUP #	 9.00 	3-Oct	41	49	2
TODAY/GALLUP #	 3.00 	2-Oct	44	46	2

VOTER.COM ^ #	 (4.50)	1-Nov	46	39	5
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (2.50)	31-Oct	45	40	5
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (5.50)	22-Oct	46	38	5
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (2.50)	19-Oct	44	39	5
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (2.00)	18-Oct	44	40	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 0.50 	17-Oct	42	40	5
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (1.00)	15-Oct	43	40	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (0.50)	27-Sep	43	40	5
VOTER.COM ^ #	 1.00 	26-Sep	42	41	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (1.50)	25-Sep	43	40	3
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (1.50)	24-Sep	44	41	3
VOTER.COM ^ #	 -   	21-Sep	42	41	2
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (3.50)	20-Sep	43	38	3
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (1.50)	19-Sep	42	39	3
VOTER.COM ^ #	 1.00 	18-Sep	40	39	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (2.00)	17-Sep	41	37	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 -   	14-Sep	41	39	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 -   	13-Sep	41	39	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (1.00)	12-Sep	41	38	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 3.00 	11-Sep	40	41	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 3.00 	10-Sep	40	41	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (3.50)	17-Aug	45	40	3
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (9.50)	16-Aug	48	37	3
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (9.00)	15-Aug	48	37	4
VOTER.COM ^ #	 (7.00)	14-Aug	47	38	4
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merbex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-19-04 06:25 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks for this
I 've been talking to people today about the polls and the contrast between the pollsters contracted to "mainstream media" and the independent pollsters

Your posts on this have been
a treasure of information

Thanks
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whistle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-19-04 06:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. Please explain header "GB"
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-19-04 06:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. It should be G+N-B = Gore + Nader -Bush.
I added Nader's poll numbers to Gore's, assuming Gore would get them at the end. The number is the net result.
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