VA-Gov: Deeds Takes Big Lead in PPP's Final Poll

[ccharles000]

Public Policy Polling (6/6-7, likely voters, 5/28-31 in parens):


Creigh Deeds (D): 40 (27)
Terry McAuliffe (D): 26 (24)
Brian Moran (D): 24 (22)
Undecided: 10 (26)
(MoE: ±3.0%)
Wow. What a huge movement for Creigh Deeds in just a few short weeks. Remember, Deeds was lagging at 14% in PPP's 5/1-3 poll, but a well-timed endorsement from the Washington Post was clearly the catalyst for Deeds' remarkable surge -- and probably also a sign that a sizable share of Moran and McAuliffe's support was pretty soft in the first place. Indeed, in the vote-rich DC burbs in Northern Virginia, where Deeds has been almost a non-factor for much of the race, Deeds has now pulled ahead of Moran by a 38-35 margin, with 20% going to McAuliffe.

And speaking of McAuliffe, take a look at his horrid favorability rating; among Democratic primary voters, just as many voters have a favorable opinion of the ex-DNC chair as those who dislike him (40%-40%). That's pretty brutal. If Deeds can hold onto his lead on Tuesday, we may be dodging a major bullet here.

Of course, the usual caveats apply: Pegging the primary voter universe is a notoriously tough business (especially in an ultra-low turnout state like Virginia), and the ground game will be key on Tuesday. For now, though, the momentum is clearly at the back of Deeds.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/5077/vagov-ppps-final-poll

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Good. Even though I wanted Moran.

[MrModerate]

2. I don't even know if McAuliffe could have won statewide . . .

But I'd be happy if he was out of the race. Right now the 'Licans have a near-monopoly on high profile odious vultures. Let's keep it that way.

[ccharles000]

3. kick

[ccharles000]

4. one more kick