What is Your Electoral and Popular Vote Prediction?

[MadBadger]

Right now, I see it at Obama 341, McCain 197. Ive recently soured on North Carolina. I think it will be close there, but wouldnt be surprised if undecided voters ultimately went for McCain, giving him a 1 point victory there. I think Missouri is going to come down to the wire but I give McCain a small edge there at this moment. Indiana is another state that will be close I think. If it is close, we will know that Obama has won on election day. If he takes an early lead, it could be a blowout. I also am feeling confident about North Dakota at this moment, more so then Montana. I think Obama will pull out a win there.

In the Popular Vote, I think Obama wins this thing 51.8 - 45.1

[book_worm]

1. I'll wait until Monday, but I'm sure I'll have Obama over 300 EV

[MadBadger]

3. I'll give one on Monday too, probably based on PPPs final NC Poll

[grantcart]

2. Obama 71,387,992 McCain 54,983,383

oh let me change Obama's to 71,387,994 some guy in Orange County just said his neighbors changed their vote.

EV Obama 400

[MadBadger]

4. How many total people do you see voting (what is that in percentage world)

[grantcart]

6. total 126 million Obama 56% McCain 44%

[MadBadger]

7. You dont see Nader or Barr getting anything?

[grantcart]

9. no Barr has evaporated in his home state - any Barr or Nader votes will be from McCain

[ddeclue]

5. Obama 355 McC 183

[Nevernose]

8. I think a lot of the undecided will break for McCain

But lot will stay home, too. There will be better turn out fro Repubs than expected, softening but not canceling the effect of an increased Democratic turn out. We'll lose Ohio, Pennsylvania, and/or Florida, but get Virginia, Colorado, and Nevada for the win. Obama wins nationally by a squeaker, and Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia are also won by razor-thin margins.

Or I might jsut be a pessimistic brainstormer...

[Bucky]

12. Historical trends suggest the late deciders will go for Obama.

[Nevernose]

15. I hope so, but historical trends don't include

the fact that, if Obama wins, "The Blacks Will Take Over" (cue scary music).

I have to believe that race is still a significant (if largely unspoken) factor in this race. And with the difference between the two candidates being so incredibly pronounced, and one team obviously more qualified than the other, I assume that the reason Barack's not up by 20 points nationwide is race. And Faux News, of course. I think, "I'm just not sure who Barack Obama really is..." is code for "I just don't know about voting for a black person."

But, like I said earlier, I may just be pessimistic and paranoid.

[Bucky]

10. six point spread in popular vote; EC will be 336 to 202

I think Indiana and Missouri go for Obama, but Florida he loses. Bush beat the polling in 2004 in Florida by 8 points.

[Schulzz]

11. Obama 52 McCain 46, EV 364-174

Maybe I'm too optimistic about NC and MO, but Im going to stick with it. And I will not be disappointed, if it ends up closer.

[MadBadger]

13. I think Obama is ahead in NC,I just can see undecideds breaking away from him in this Southern state

[Pisces]

14. 403 to 135 he will lose Az.

[NRaleighLiberal]

16. 364 EV - I would also give him NC and MO. Not fussed about the pop. vote.