Obama Landslide Predicted in California Field Poll—Largest Margin Since FDR

[madmusic]

There are a lot of interesting number in this, but there is something special in the early vs. election day voting poll. Those who vote in person will be even more likely to vote Democratic.

http://www.californiaprogressreport.com/2008/10/obama_landslide.html">Obama Landslide Predicted in California Field Poll—Largest Margin Since FDR—And There’s More—Effects Seen in Downticket Races

By Frank D. Russo

The California Field Poll released today http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2291.pdf shows Barack Obama has widened his lead to a 55% to 33% margin over John McCain with 4% voting for other candidates and 8% undecided amongst likely voters. If this holds up, it will be the largest margin any candidate has won in California since World War II.

Obama leads 50% to 36% in those who have already voted, 51% to 37% with those who are expected to vote by mail or vote early, and 57% to 30% in the group that is likely to vote in their precincts on election day. Field projects that 47% of voters will cast a vote by mail or early vote and 53% will vote at the polls on election day.

Before we go into Obama’s historic numbers—truly amazing—let’s take a look at what the numbers show for races for Congress. They point the way, if we turn out the day of election vote, to a tidal wave that could sweep many of the Congressional races—and state legislative races into the Democratic column. But it will take the turnout of these last voters to make that happen.

[VADem11]

1. Love this poll

A landslide in California can go a long way to helping Obama's popular vote margin.

[WI_DEM]

2. Obama could take CA by 3 million and NY by 2 million

five million vote margin from just two states alone.

[kestrel91316]

4. Popular vote means ZERO. It's all about the state-by-state vote,

and electoral college.

[woolldog]

9. big popular vote win will help Obama govern.

[kestrel91316]

10. Good point. Makes it easier to tell the RW to STFU.

[opihimoimoi]

3. AWESOME......Poor McMoot....so lonely he is...26 years in the Senate

and he gets to lose.....why?

Basically....LOE...he has a bad case of LOE....Lack of Empathy....

Obama has Empathy....

Hence the difference in the poll numbers....

And..the number of Peeps who come to hear them in person....

Obama speaks to an audience of 85 000 while McMoot canardly see 2,500....its Terrible, emabarrassing...

AVALANCHE coming up

[madmusic]

6. A bused in 2,500

A captive audience.

[opihimoimoi]

7. I believe he learned that trick from the Bush himself....so contrived, so staged, so faux...

but now the Peeps out there...they have seen the mistake of falling for the GOP Swill....no more sucking swill...pass the Visine around...we need better Vision...

[writes3000]

5. Every time I go out I see an OCEAN of Obama bumper stickers. It's crazy here. nt

[justiceischeap]

8. Hope this helps DEFEAT Prop 8. (eom)