Rasmussen's final electoral vote projection: Obama 364, McCain 174.

[Drunken Irishman]

They will tweak it Monday, but outside of a major shift, the end of the world, or an epic Obama meltdown, this will be their final projections.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/the_last_word_almost

[Alter Ego]

1. Holy shit.

I don't even care that they're not calling 60 seats in the Senate for us. The idea of a 15+ seat gap in the Senate is HUGE.

[Beetwasher]

5. They Are Usually On The Conservative Side, So This Makes Me Hopeful For 60

I think it's very, very doable and I would even go as far as predicting it will happen.

[tridim]

35. Are there any possible R aisle crossers that aren't up for reelection?

Looks like we'll only need one or two, if that.

[Bicoastal]

2. I can live with that.

I'm in no hurry to kick out Lieberman--he'll be totally irrelevant in the new Congress anyway.

[Alter Ego]

13. No kidding.

There are a few Republicans who would vote with us on important pieces of legislation anyway--so getting 60 seats is more "cherry on top" than "OMG WE NEED IT".

[FatDave]

37. Yup, works for me.

Doing better will just be icing.

[dtotire]

3. I Hope They Are Right n/t

[cocotea]

4. Ouch

[maseman]

6. 60 senate seats won't happen

But I will take 57 or 58 seats. Remember before the 2006 election the Dems only had 45 seats. After this election the Dems could have 57-59 seats. That is a HUGE swing.

[Parche]

12. Senate

Alaska, New Mexico, Oregon, Minnesota, NH, NC,CO

Tough fights GA, KY, MS

[LSK]

14. do you know how close it is to happening??????

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Senate/Maps/Oct30-s.html

its 58 right now and MN is in a dead heat, GA is down 2 and KY is down 4.

It can EASILY happen.

[Frumious B]

22. Georgia goes to a runoff if no candidate breaks 50%. That's what happened to Wyche Fowler in 1992.

If there is a runoff then I'd bet that you could count on (knock on wood) President-Elect Obama coming to Georgia and actively campaigning on behalf of Jim Martin which would probably provide him a big boost.

[Overseas]

7. I hope so too !!

I'd love to see a huge rout of disgusting Gingrich and Rovian Republicans and their fake and very elitist culture wars.

[SuperTrouper]

Freeperland is in meltdown! They have throw Raz under the bus

:rofl:

[Hamlette]

8. does anyone have the final projections from 2006?

If I remember correctly, we did WAY than the projections in 2006. House and Senate.

[sarahdemva]

27. rasmussen nailed it in 04 and 06

is this rasmussen or sabato's map?

[Bicoastal]

9. Hey Drunken--how accurate were these guys in 2004?

[Drunken Irishman]

18. I'm not sure.

However, the Tuesday of the election, they had Bush up in their tracking poll 49-47 and the EC was 222-186 for Bush, with 130 toss-up states. It doesn't look like they made predictions, but probably because the race was just too close to call.

[azmouse]

10. Nice!

[Occam Bandage]

11. Beautiful if it happens, but I'm not as optimistic.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

15. Looks EXACTLY like Larry Sabato at the Univ. of VA

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2008103001

:shrug:

[Drunken Irishman]

20. That's who they used.

[DemsUnited]

23. It is Larry Sabato's, see byline. Just cross-posted on Rasmussen?

[Deep13]

16. I think we'll take Montana. nt

[wildeyed]

17. Works for me. n/t

[jefferson_dem]

19. Sabato lists 11 states that are "close". Key is...they are all BUSH states.

Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, and Virginia. Even if we paint them all red, McCrypt still loses.

Bwahahahahahah...

[KingFlorez]

21. The projection for House seat pick ups is huge

That number could put the Democrats back close to or over the numbers they had in the House before the Republican revolution.

[Name removed]

24. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Bicoastal]

28. You're either a moron or a troll.

In either case, shame on you.

[jenmito]

30. "Obamacide" commited DU suicide ALREADY!

[high density]

25. That's good

Let's hope it holds... I put way too much faith in these things in 2004.

[jenmito]

26. WOW! That means he could still win WITHOUT PA, OH, FL, NC, and MO!

He'd still have 270!:bounce:

[Abugface]

29. Has Rasmussen included election fraud into the equation?

With more and more reports of Diebold machines flipping votes to Republicans and the attorneys that are AWOL and asleep at the wheel, I hope Rasmussen is right, because the only way we can lose this election is if the Republicans steal it.

http://www.bradblog.com/?p=6592

[Phx_Dem]

31. Holy shit.

[Bicoastal]

32. On an interesting side note...

"These states are close, and we will revisit them on Monday: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, and Virginia."

Obama could lose ALL of these states and still win. McCain, on the other hand needs every single one--and guess whose side the momentum is on?

[Terran]

33. Regarding new Governors: in Missouri

you can bank on a new Democrat, Jay Nixon, replacing that little twit Matt Blunt. Nixon is beating the repub by 15 points.

[GrizzlyMan]

34. Sabato is one of the best

It's hard to look at his numbers and not take them very seriously.

[wroberts189]

36. MANDATE TIME... eom

[samsingh]

38. i hope the senate numbers go up a bit