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NBC: McCain up by 11 among likely voters in SC, but only 6 among registered voters

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 11:58 AM
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NBC: McCain up by 11 among likely voters in SC, but only 6 among registered voters
From NBC's Mark Murray
A new NBC News/Princeton Survey Research Associates International poll shows McCain with an 11-point lead over Obama among likely South Carolina voters, 53%-42%.

Yet that margin is smaller is among registered voters, 50%-44%.



Video: In response to the recent reports of dissension in the McCain camp Sen. John McCain explains that there is always a little friction in any presidential campaign. CBNC's John Harwood reports.

Also don't miss this nugget from Princeton Survey pollster Evans Witt: cellphone respondents tend to back Obama by a greater percentage. "Unlike many state polls during the 2008 campaign, this survey included interviews on both landline phones and on cellphones in South Carolina. Among the landline interviews, McCain holds a 50% to 42% margin. But among cellphone interviews, the candidates are tied: McCain 48% and Obama 49%. Those interviewed on cell phone are more likely to be young and young voters heavily favor Obama."

The poll was conducted from October 25-28, and it has a margin of error of plus-minus 4% for registered voters and plus-minus 5% for likely voters.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/10/30/1615208.aspx
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Sanity Claws Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 12:02 PM
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1. 6% is still a lot of ground to overcome
Although Obama may not win that state, it is good to know that he is getting close to half.
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. It still will help bring the national popular vote way over the top
Even if we don't win the state. Good news.
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FloridaGrl Donating Member (615 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 12:18 PM
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3. Polls schmols
They think the gap will be greater for McCain than the poll actually suggest. It's the first I have seen "likely voters" more than the actually registered voters polled. Cellphones users won't actually go out to the polls I guess.
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NorCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-30-08 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I agree, i think this election with be MORE of a landslide...
than we think, but I still obviously plan on voting anyway. I don't know many 21 year old, cell phone only, first time voters who have been polled by Rasmussen/Zogby/USAtoday, etc. I do know tons of 50+ year old white folks who have been polled however...

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