After the Obama Commercial - Where will the polls be Saturday? Up? Down? Unchanged?

[GOTV]

Did Obama help himself?

[tekisui]

1. I think he helped himself.

He solidified some, and won over some.

[GOTV]

3. I hope so. RCP currently has him at 50.0% +6.2 on McCain

We'll see. I think Obama created something for which he can be proud, but everything he said was so uncontroversial that I don't know that there will be any media chatter going on by tomorrow. However McCain-Palin will undoubtedly say something to get the focus back on him.

My hope is that the Obama commercial carried enough weight to make the childish attacks of McCain-Palin look, well, childish.

[Schulzz]

2. Don't know if it helps in the polls - but it helped to hold his lead and to run out the clock.

I don't expect huge gains - most people were already decided before.

[GOTV]

4. It was a lot of money to spend for 0pts though. ...

... If he hasn't moved the polls, I think there will be erosion.

[palintology]

5. Expect the bandwagon effect ...

... people like to vote for what they think, and constantly hear from the MSM, will be the winner.

Well informed people have already made up their minds.

These Less Informed Voters (LIV's) hardly read newspapers, go on the internet, or watch the news,
but they do decide elections. They go with the current wave, and this time around, there will be
an Obama Tsunami !!!

[GOTV]

8. But did the commercial give the MSM enough to talk about ....

... for several days?

Or will the next absurd McCain-Palin outburst bring the focus right back to them?

Has Obama seized control of the media with this ad for long enough to create this tsunami?

I like your username

[Max_powers94]

6. we will find out tomorrow

[calmblueocean]

7. The proof that it helped will be when undecideds break in big numbers for Obama on election day.

I don't know if it will show up in the polls immediately or not, but I suspect that on election day, the undecided vote is going to break massively towards Obama, in large part because this infomercial helped them feel more comfortable with him than McCain.

[GOTV]

11. So you're expecting a delayed effect....

... undecideds will remain undecideds for polling for the next few days and when the commercial sinks in fully, they'll break for Obama.

[shotten99]

9. If nothing else, it will work as a stop gap.

At worst, nothing will change from this point out.
Drudge has nothing about Rasmussen today.
Looks like it's back to 5-7%.

[progressiveforever]

10. past today-maybe tomorrow- I wouldn't listen to any polls

The weekend before the election polls are consistently wrong. Look at 2004.
In 2000, looked like Bush held the popular vote, but we were told Gore might get the electoral vote. (Of course, none of us really believed that because it had never happened in our life times). Turns out the opposite happened.

Also--Max Cleland was up by 8 the weekend before he was defeated--but it had been tighter all season.