Today this same Mason Dixon Poll has Obama down only 4 in Arizona

[aaaaaa5a]

NBC, Mason Dixon... McCain 48%/Obama 44%

Therefore according to their own data this morning, NBC news believes the possibility of a McCain win in Pennsylvania is equal to Obama winning in Arizona. In fact it's actually greater because there are several polls that indicate a close Arizona race. This is the ONLY poll showing PA competitive.

I'm just pointing this out to relax people about one poll that actually has Obama IMPROVING HIS LEAD from when they polled him before. (Mason Dixon had O+2 in PA in September)

BTW... Chuck T still has PA blue on his electoral map. If he was putting that much into this number, wouldn't he have changed PA yellow!

One last point, the key with today's poll isn't the 4 point spread. It's that McCain is at 43%. I noticed this alot looking at polling in the primaries. Every candidate hits a ceiling. And what's interesting is that while Obama's number went down, McCain's number didn't go up. I think McCain's ceiling in PA is about 46-47. And as long as it is under 50... we win.


Anyone who is concerned about losing PA's 21 electoral votes should be adding Arizona's 11 electoral votes to our side, in that Mason Dixon has the margins in each state exactly the same.

[dennis4868]

1. Another poll...

had Obama down by only 2 in Arizona....

[Schulzz]

2. Now their PA poll is making even less sense.

CNN has Obama +12 in PA, but down 7 in AZ. Why would Obama lose ground in PA and improve in AZ?

[Kahuna]

3. Do you have a link to the poll? The last poll I'm seeing linked on their site is

from Oct 20-21.

[maui9002]

4. AZ has 10 electoral votes, but I'd be glad to have them!*