My prediction for the EC: best, most likely and worst case scenarios

[thesubstanceofdreams]

Worst case: All Kerry states + IA, NM, VA, CO (286 EVs)
Very likely to get at least: Above states + NV, OH, FL (338 EVs)
Best case: Above states + NC, MO, IN, MT, ND, GA, AZ (406 EVs)

What scenario takes places comes down to three factors:

1) Young turnout.
2) Working whites pulling the trigger for Obama in large numbers.
3) GOTV.

Bottom line, Obama will win and a landslide is within reach.

[propel]

1. please

let me go to work Nov. 5th after a landslide....please please pleaase.

[thesubstanceofdreams]

2. I'll be wildly happy as long as Obama wins

I'll be besides myself if it's a landslide!

[tblue]

3. Please re-word choice #2.

It's creeping me out.

But I do like your analysis.

[rufus dog]

4. I agree

Most likely is 325 to 375. (Basically IN, MO, NC being the variables)

Best case could be a bit higher, throw Arkansas and Louisiana into your mix only because it looks really cool to have a complete blue block all the way down the middle of the Country.