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Obama wins with 291 EVs when counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls! (Up 5)

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KansasVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:43 PM
Original message
Obama wins with 291 EVs when counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls! (Up 5)
Obama wins with 291 EVs when only counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls!

If Obama wins the states where he only has a 7 or more point in the Poll Averages, he has 291 Electoral Votes.

This is up 5 EVs from yesterday! We gained NV!

I used 7 points to counter the margin of error and the (unproven and outdated) Bradley effect.

Basically, this is the worst case scenario for Obama!

2 states dropped today - OH (from +6 to +5), NM (From +8 to +7)
3 states gained today - NH (+11 to +12), PA (+9 to +11), NV (+4 to +7)
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OmahaBlueDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:54 PM
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1. My over/under is 306
Edited on Wed Oct-29-08 10:00 PM by OmahaBlueDog
All Kerry states + VA,OH, CO, NM

On edit -- how can I forget my neighbors in Iowa?
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KansasVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-29-08 09:58 PM
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2. Sounds pretty good to me. Makes sense!
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