Obama is going to take Georgia

[grantcart]

Early voting in Georgia has been extremely heavy with twice as many people voting so far in Georgia than voted in the 2004 early voting.

Early Voting 1.4 million to date compared to 3.3 million total votes in 2004.

There is very strong AA voting so far in GA with about 500,000 AA voters already voting.

AA population is estimated at 30% but currently they count for 35% of the early voting

White 60.6%
Black 35.2%
Other/Unk 2.4%

Absentee 12.9%
In-person 87.1%

If you add in the hispanic population and project the same percentage of voting that Hispanics and AA voters are voting for Senator Obama is getting nationwide, and if the voting participation percents remain the same through Nov 4th,

This means that Senator Obama only will need 25% of the white vote in Georgia to take the state. Senator McCain's catering numbers show that his support their is soft and that a lack of enthusiasm will also be a problem for him in getting the vote out.

It looks very very good -- Senator Obama is going to take Georgia



edited to add early voting stats link http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[Smuckies]

1. I agree. We will win GA for sure

It will be sweet :9

[Erin Elizabeth]

2. I will freak the hell out.

I am not predicting he will take Texas, but I think his numbers here will be better than people think. And definitely better than Kerry got in 2004. By a lot.

(Just mentioning that because that's where I am!)

[billyoc]

5. I just need Cornyn gone.

[Smuckies]

7. I agree, Obama won't win TX but he'll only lose it by 1-4%

[KingFlorez]

3. I think so too

Georgia is one of the states that reports results early in evening on election night, if Obama wins it, then we'll know early on that we are headed for a very good night.

[billyoc]

I just need Chambliss gone.

[SeaLyons]

13. Me too....Martin got my vote on Monday....

If Obama takes Georgia, I will lift my head so high among my redneck neighbors and breath a big sigh of relief.

GOBAMA, and GOGEORGIA!!

[MadBadger]

4. African Americans are more likely to vote Early. Id expect the numbers to even out on election day

Thats what happened in the primaries

[GreenPartyVoter]

6. Yep. Early voting is great but it can't really tell us about election day turnout

[MarjorieG]

8. One of those DRE plagued states, with uncertain electronic results.

I'll take the momentum, and the fact that winning with this kind of strength makes governing easier.

[stillcool]

12. I just looked at that..

not a piece of paper to count in the state.

http://www.verifiedvoting.org/verifier/map.php?&ec=allall&year=2008&state=Georgia

[Sequoia]

9. Marching thru Georgia !!!

Bet ole Jefferson Davis is spinning in his grave.

[blue-kite]

10. I don't know about you but I didn't know there were so many alcoholics anonymous in GA!

[grantcart]

11. and so many unemployed comedians on DU lol

[blue-kite]

20. What are you talking about... lol

Between the delinquents, winos, sluggards, medieval hagglers, jugglers, gobetweens, has-beens, been-sellers, bean counters, know-nothings, know-everythings, half-wits, no-wits, those at their wits ends, there really isn't any space for comedians...

Wait a minute I also forgot the pedophiles, communists, socialists, anarchists, terrorists, pacifists... and other labels for Obama supporters...

;)
Cheers
BK

[Dawgs]

14. Also, Barr is on the ballot while Nader is NOT.

I can see many disappointed Republicans voting for Barr when they get in the booth.

[hogwyld]

15. I agree that will be a big influencer

for GA.

[CADEMOCRAT7]

16. Oh I hope, I hope, I hope !!!

This would be SO sweet ! Hope also this carries Martin. Go Jim Martin !!!!!

[TragedyandHope]

17. Go Georgia Voters!

[Perky]

18. I predicted this before Obama secured the nomination

It is going to be pretty close, but I think it may be the nail biter of the nite.

[noonwitch]

19. If Obama wins Georgia, he's definitely got a mandate.

I'm more optimistic about Florida and Ohio, but Georgia is a state he doesn't need, so if he wins, it's big.

[Schulzz]

21. I would still be very surprised if Obama wins Georgia.

And I am optimistic about 364 other EV, so I am certainly not the most concerned person out there.

[bunnies]

22. And Mississippi. Gut feeling. nt

[bermudat]

23. Georgia? Really?

I lived in Atlanta, Georgia briefly in the mid 70's. Outside of Atlanta and Savannah,

Georgia was a very scary place. I am praying for an Obama win but

Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia going for Obama? I believe

Obama will win by taking Penn, Colorado and all the mountain states

except Wyoming and Idaho.

[CitizenPatriot]

24. finally!

Do you know how many posts were posted here insisting GA was out of reach? As someone who volunteered during the voter registration phase for several months, working every day and weekend, I think it's a possibility. The thing many people don't understand about GA is how disenfranchised many of the African Americans have been -- for a variety of reasons. The Obama camp recognized the needs of this group and has organized a brilliant GOTV strategy, as well as registering folks in places convenient for them and making sure they knew what they needed to bring to the polls, checking their registrations to make sure they were filled out properly, etc.

We had the vote switching device here, so it would be presumptive to make any assumptions based on the voter registration drives. However, with 400,000 newly registered voters, the chance that many people will have their votes counted is good.

I'll be holding my breath for GA and if she goes blue, I know I will cry. But even if she's just purple, that is a huge accomplishment. HUGE.

Kudos to all of the volunteers and staffers who worked their hearts out in GA -- I know people who gave up their day job to volunteer for months here. They all deserve recognition for their service to our country!

GO GEORGIA!!! GOBAMA!!!