PEW POLL: Obama 52, McCryp 36 (-2). Obama +19 Among Those Who Have Already Voted

[jefferson_dem]

October 28, 2008
McCain Support Continues Downward Spiral
Obama Leads by 19 Among Those Who Have Already Voted

Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back Obama. When the sample is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38%.



A breakdown of voting intentions by demographic groups shows that since mid- September, McCain’s support has declined significantly across most voting blocs. Currently, McCain holds a statistically significant advantage only among white evangelical Protestants (aside from Republicans). In addition, Obama runs nearly even with McCain in the so-called red states, all of which George W. Bush won in 2004.

Just as ominous for the Republican candidate, Obama holds a 53% to 34% lead among the sizable minority of voters (15%) who say they have already voted. Among those who plan to vote early but have not yet voted (16% of voters), 56% support Obama, while 37% support McCain.

While Obama’s support levels have not increased much in recent weeks, a growing percentage of his backers now say they support him strongly. Currently, 74% of Obama voters say they support him strongly, up from 65% in mid-September. A much smaller majority of McCain backers (56%) say they support him strongly, which is largely unchanged from mid-September.



<SNIP>

http://people-press.org/report/465/mccain-support-declines

[TheCoxwain]

1. McCain is Pewened!!!

[HughMoran]

2. Love how they had them tied in early Sept.

It lends credibility to Obama's swing as they started at "par" 6 weeks ago.

[UnrepentantUnitarian]

3. The McCain numbers are pretty interesting!

His numbers keep falling as pPeople who were "for McCain" apparently are now calling themselves undecided. Whatever...as long as Obama can stay above at 50 or more, in virtually all the better polls, that should work for us.

[wildflower]

4. Wow...

:wow: That is great. K&R.

[EastTennesseeDem]

5. Haven't these guys been perfect or close to it the last two elections?

[scheming daemons]

7. Yep

[kwolf68]

8. yes and it tells me their methods are solid

I just don't think 1300 for a nation of millions is enough of a sample size, but Pew obviously has quality people working these polls to where they can have a reduced sample size and still come up with pretty accurate numbers. I've always been impressed by Pews work.

[cosmicone]

6. McLame is toast already, if this continues much longer,

there will be smoke and then flames coming out of the toaster. Fortunately for him, Nov 4 will soon be here and McLame will escape with just charred sides.

[mvd]

9. K&R!

Terrific news here, and no decline in Rasmussen and Diageo/Hotline.

[Tribetime]

10. I have to bump up a 16 point lead Wahooooo