Uh-Oh.... Looks like we're losing ground in a few states....

[Blue Belle]

looks like we are losing ground in Arizona and Missouri:




Compared with yesterday's map:




I know I shouldn't obsessively check these poll maps... but I just can't help it. I really want to see a lot more blue.

[Occam Bandage]

1. We're not winning AZ. Whatever.

[Bleacher Creature]

3. And Missouri was always going to be a pure tossup -- not lean blue or red.

[Bake]

52. Nobody gives a damn about Arizona.

McLame can have it, if we get PA, VA, FL, et al.

Bake

[AZBlue]

54. Really?

[Bake]

57. Nothing personal, of course!

But I never expected us to win AZ, since it IS McLame's home turf. Would it be SWEEEEEEET to carry AZ? Of course! But we're not gonna lose if we don't ...

:hi:

And hey, I live in MS, so go figure ...

Bake

[ogneopasno]

2. The fact that you're worried about "losing ground" in Arizona should tell you something.

nt

[AZBlue]

55. And what's that?

[WI_DEM]

4. Uh-Oh! Pew Poll has Obama up by sixteen-points today.

[scheming daemons]

5. Delete

[kwolf68]

6. Relax

Losing ground in MO or AZ isn't to be worried. Look at all the Kerry states...SOLID BLUE. They are ours. And look at all those former Bush states solidly in our column? 7 days away...7 days away.

[SoxFan]

7. Missouri is this year's Florida or Ohio

It's the state where things will go haywire and we won't have any idea who actually won. You have a mix of urban political machines and rural good old boys, so the potential for debacles is endless.

[Terran]

23. Aren't most states a mix

of urban political machines and rural good old boys?

What you're saying is not going to happen, except that St. Louis probably isn't prepared for the long lines they'll have. We have a highly competent Dem Secretary of State here, and I've read opinions that say we're overall well-prepared for this election. I only wish we had early voting.

[nickinSTL]

30. the difference is...

it won't (based on the most recent polling and projections) come down to the results in one state.

Whether we take Missouri is likely to be moot, as far as the electoral vote count reaching 270 for Obama is concerned.

[HeeBGBz]

31. You may be right

http://www.ky3.com/news/political/localissues/33412649.html

Several people finding out they aren't able to vote when they thought they were registered. This is in southern Missouri around the Springfield area.

All in all, unless there is disenfranchising, I expect Missouri to go blue.

[Bake]

53. Missouri and Arizona won't matter.

Even if McLame gets ALL the toss-up states, he loses. All we need are VA, PA, and one other state. We win.

Bake

[Schulzz]

8. McCain is winning his home state. We are doomed! nt

[stray cat]

9. Until the election is over I fear a McCain/Palin presidency

[HughMoran]

10. Your concern is noted

:rofl:

[budkin]

11. UH-OH the Concern is HUGH1!1!

[yardwork]

12. Arizona is McCain's home state. If he loses that....

I will cheer.

[AZBlue]

56. You just may be cheering.

[ipfilter]

13. The fact that we are even talking about MO and AZ

are bad signs for McGramps.

[high density]

14. I assumed this was going to be a sarcastic thread

I assumed poorly.

[texasleo]

15. If Obama wins AZ and MO, he's probably wrapping up about 420 EV.

[Terran]

16. It's a 1% change in Missouri

I live here and while I feel we'll go for Obama, it's always a friggin tossup here.

[jillmt]

36. As our Sen. Claire McCaskill says:

"Sometimes a one-point victory in Missouri is called a landslide."

I think it's going to be close...but I'm optimistic. That could be because I'm up here in St. Louis where Obama is pretty strong.

[spanone]

17. msnbc keeps saying 'if mccain wins pennsylvania'.....

[Stagecoach]

18. Certainly looks better than 4 years ago

Certainly looks better than what we were looking at exactly 1 week before the election in 2004. Here's how it looked on October 26, 2004 (Exactly one week before the election):

Bush 285
Kerry 247
Tie 6

[Blue Belle]

19. Wow. I didn't realize I was starting an "Asshole Pile-on" thread...

I was just making an observation people... Geeze. :eyes:

[NYC_SKP]

28. LOL! This is the best observation in the thread... Oh, DU, why so unkind?

"Asshole Pile-on"!!!

You called it, they should be ashamed...

Hugs for all, for pity sake.....:grouphug:

[ecstatic]

29. I thought it was satire. But we all are a bit jittery around here :) nt

[gkhouston]

35. Once you've dined on too many trolls, the craving for flesh cannot be denied.

Apparently, you've been targeted as a tide-me-over snack until Thursday, when we should be getting in a fresh crop of the real thing, all eager to give us the talking points about Obama's 30-minute spot. Hide!

[yellowcanine]

39. Oh please. Of heat and kitchens. Nuff said. Geeze, grow some thick skin.

[Blue Belle]

58. and another to add to the pile...

your advice is noted.

[demnan]

20. Expect the polls to tighten a little right at the end as they always do

We'll still win if we work hard.

[DainBramaged]

21. WOW thanks for your concern!!! Glad to hear we will win by landslide

and not a tsunami.

[CreekDog]

22. What is the point of this post?

:eyes:

[progressivebydesign]

24. So, is Tuesday "Concern Day?" So many concerned posts this morning...

yawn. People are posting these things without giving any thought to what polls are used to come up with this, considering a major poll had Obama gaining on McCain in Arizona YESTERDAY.

[NYC_SKP]

25. Hi Blue Belle. I hope you don't let others get you down....

My nonno (grandfather) said, "if you can't say something nice don't say anything at all).

I wish members understood a few things: not all other members are here everyday for hours, so when they post something new to them, it's new to them.

Also, expressing concern and providing two electoral maps is not a bad thing, it is helpful to many, and it doesn't merit snarkiness.

I wish it didn't take such a thick skin to post here, but it does.

That's all I wanted to say.

Care for a donut? :donut:

[Blue Belle]

27. Thank you...

a donut would be lovely. :)

:donut:

[NancyG]

46. Your sarcasm was obvious to me.

And if not recognized, your maps showing Obama moving ahead in those states should have sealed it.

[John Q. Citizen]

26. Only way to see more blue is to leave the maps and volunteer for Obama

Helping get the vote out is the only way to make it so.

http://www.barackobama.com/splash/volunteer.html

Phoning, door knocking, data entry, bringing pie to other volunteers, the ways to help are infinite and critically needed right now.

My advice is step away from the map, go to Obama's website and find your nearest office and volunteer.

If you live in a Red State, you can make calls to voters in swing states using your computer through the Obama website.

And vote early if at all possible. Get your family and friends who support Obama to vote early if at all possible.


That map don't mean shit until Nov 5th. Let's change the map!

[Blue Belle]

34. Already volunteer...

for Obama and Merkley...

but you offer great advice for everyone to follow. :)

[John Q. Citizen]

50. Alright!

[skipos]

32. We're DOOOOOOOMED!

It's a trap!
Rove is all over this!

[pnwmom]

33. Don't worry about how much red is on the map. The only thing that matters

is the number of delegates. Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma make up an awful lot of red space on the map, but add up to only 30 delegates!

[Deep13]

37. Shit, we might not get 100 electors beyond the 270 minimum!

Actually, I would be happy with 271. And I think we will win MO.

[yellowcanine]

38. OTOH Virginia and Ohio have been holding at light blue for about a week.

That is some real good news right there because Ohio, Virginia, and Pennsylvania means we are getting into EV landslide territory.

[Fire_brand]

40. . . .

[Tesibria]

41. You're misinterpting the map - it shows GAINS

The only changes on this map are
MO - moved from "tossup" to LEAN Obama
AZ - moved from Mccain to LEAN McCain

BOTH Of those changes are GOOD for us

What AM I missing here???

[barack the house]

42. Barack is focusing on a base of states that is turning solidly blue. Pollster 272 solid blue.>

The way tha solid blue has been growing wider tells me Barack has got this covered.

[barack the house]

43. Time to focus on winning not losing tha's how it's done really.

[torbird]

44. THAT's It! CANCEL the campaign!! Jeez! It's OVER, People!!!!

Back up the truck! Back it up!!!!

[4_Legs_Good]

45. This day in 2004, Kerry had 88 "STRONG KERRY" EVs

And we lost that election by, what, 40,000 votes in Ohio?

Today Obama has 260 "STRONG OBAMA" EVs.

Yes, that's 172 more votes in the STRONG column than Kerry had this day 4 years ago.

We're 10 STRONG EVs away from a victory and with over 100 weak/barely's, and we're golden.

David

[Two Americas]

47. on the other hand

It is pretty amazing that Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Georgia and West Virginia are all even in play. Now even Arizona is in play?? Amazing.

[Smuckies]

48. I saw that too, and I'm disappointed, but I think we will win AZ and MO.

[JimWis]

49. Dark blues add up to 260. Throw in the two smallest light blue

states and we get 273. We don't even need the rest. It is 271 to win, right? Or do I have that wrong.

[grantcart]

51. No AZ was by small local polls no surprise there MO 4 polls yesterday showing

Obama at 48% with a small lead.

looking very stable in Missouri