Gallup-Obama 51% McCain 42%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx

[Bicoastal]

1. No change. That's OK.

Although one of the models DID narrow a bit. Ah well.

[jefferson_dem]

2. Mixed bag with the LV models. Obama up 9 (+1) on expanded, Obama up 5 (-2) on traditional.

n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Those Three Models Are A Bit Much

It's more CYA than anything...

[jefferson_dem]

10. Agreed.

Surely, we have plenty of evidence that the "traditional" LV model has limited applicability this year.

I'll wait for Gallup's final vote projection. They have a fairly reliable record there.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/9442/Election-Polls-Accuracy-Record-Presidential-Elections.aspx

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. In 04 They Had All Three Models At The End I Believe

Their final poll was 49-48 for Bush...

Pew and Ras nailed it 51%-48%

Maybe Pew is for real when they show Obama with a double digit lead...

That being said the "scientific" thing to do is average all the polls...

[Cush]

6. "Traditional" is based on 2004, not sure how it applies this year

[Kahuna]

13. In my best Biden-speak: Traditional doesn't matter. This is NOT!..

I repeat, NOT! a traditional election. :patriot:

[Higher Standard]

3. Higher than 3 points? Gallup's under the bus!

Since it doesn't show McCain within spitting distance of Obama, John McCain refuses to believe this poll. It can join all the others under the wheels of the Straight Talk Express.

[CitizenLeft]

4. thank you

It was reported on MSNBC that Gallup was about to release a poll showing the race "tightening" once again down to 5-6%, referring to only report the "traditional likely voters." They never stop.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Hmmmm

A two point move one way in one model, another move another way in another model...

Statistical noise within the MOE...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. ABC-WAPOO Will Be Between Eight And Ten

That poll is very steady like Rasmussen

[HughMoran]

9. Where'd you hear this?

I like good news :D

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. It's A WAG

But that poll has bounced around between nine and eleven since last Sunday!