Plouffe provides the numbers to back up his claims on this morning's conference call. Looks great...but, what's up with my Colorado?? Looks like some calls are in order!
Obama aides: We're winning
On a conference call that reminds me a bit of those calls David Plouffe would hold in the primary to insist (accurately, it turns out) that Obama had already won, Obama aides told reporters that their position is extremely strong.
In particular, national field director Jon Carson made the case that he is already winning meaningfully in the early votes, and offered some statistics against the argument that these are people who would have voted early anyway and are just casting their ballots with extra enthusiasm.
"A higher percentage of our vote is new Democrats and we have a lot more new Democrats," he said, going over totals in North Carolina, Nevada, Florida and Iowa that seem to suggest that new and sporadic voters are voting at high rates.
That's a key claim, and I'll add Carson's numbers when I confirm the details.
UPDATE: The Obama campaign's numbers are after the jump.
» Continue reading Obama aides: We're winning
TO: Interested Parties
FR: Jon Carson, Obama-Biden Campaign Field Director
RE: State of the early vote
DA: October 24, 2008
According to information from Secretaries of State from all over the country, Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004 and new and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans.
Below is the data on early voting I provided on the conference call earlier this afternoon.
Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004:
North Carolina – 2008 to date
All Votes By Party Registration
DEM
520,064
56%
REP
254,515
27%
UNA
155,476
17%
North Carolina – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers
All Votes By Party Registration
DEM
479,305
48%
REP
363,294
37%
UNA
149,632
15%
More at link:
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1008/Obama_aides_Were_winning.html?showall