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HOLY SHIT! Intrade - O: 81.6 (up 1.6), M: 19.5 (dwn 1.6)

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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-08 12:28 PM
Original message
HOLY SHIT! Intrade - O: 81.6 (up 1.6), M: 19.5 (dwn 1.6)
Edited on Wed Oct-15-08 12:29 PM by quantass
I do like those numbers. A shame we still have 3 weeks to go. I was always hoping to see a 80/20 score but a 90/10 would be even better, unlikely but one can hope...

Did something happen today with McCain for the loss?

Go to: http://www.intrade.com/
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
1. We're running into the law of diminishing returns.
Going up 1.6 when it's 80/20 is more impressive than going up the same when it's 50/50
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-08 12:33 PM
Response to Original message
2. There something fishy about intrade on debate days. They always run Obama's #s up before the debate
and then they drop and McCains rise after the debate. By the next day the settle back down.
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TheCoxwain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-08 12:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. No it's market Psychology .. you buy on anticipation and sell on the news
Very predictable market behavior
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