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Doesn't McCain usually Poll better over the weekends in the Tracking Polls?

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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-13-08 09:55 AM
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Doesn't McCain usually Poll better over the weekends in the Tracking Polls?
Just trying to remind those that get worried with the new Tracking Polls today
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Brotherjohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-13-08 10:01 AM
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1. Seems like Gallup is deciding to do things differently today (and/or RCP).
Yesterday's Gallup was down to 7, an admitted decline. But I didn't think it would stay up at 11. I think it was hovering around a "real" number of 8-9.

But then, their "Likely Voters" numbers pop up on Real Clear Politics, as opposed to the usual Registered (where the 7 number came from) Not only that, but it was the average of TWO LV "models", for a "50.5-45.5" = 5% difference.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

RCP never reported this before, and Gallup to my knowledge hasn't used (or at least reported as their main number) these "LV models" until now. RCP also decided yesterday to drop a perceived "partisan" poll or two (Democracy Corp at least; which didn't hurt Obama's average at this point).

But it seems like both Gallup and RCP are playing games to make the race appear closer.
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Curtland1015 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-13-08 10:03 AM
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2. Yes. McCain polls better than Obama on weekends.
Usually by one or two points. If numbers continue to drop, I'd start getting worried. But my guess is that we'll level off around 5%-7%. Up or down a point here or there.

Just my guess anyway.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-13-08 10:18 AM
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3. Yes... because the markets can't tank on the weekends.
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