by kos
Sat Oct 04, 2008 at 07:30:07 AM PDT
Karl Rove, May 8, 2008:
- The battlegrounds will look familiar. It will be the industrial heartland from Pennsylvania to Wisconsin, minus Indiana (Republican) and Illinois (Democrat); the western edge of the Midwest from Minnesota south to Missouri; Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada in the Rocky Mountains; Florida; and New Hampshire.
Mr. Obama will argue he puts Virginia and North Carolina into play (doubtful), and may make an attempt at winning one or two of Nebraska's electoral votes (it awards its electoral votes by congressional district). Mr. McCain will say he can put New Jersey and Delaware and part of Maine (it splits its vote like Nebraska) in play. But it's doubtful he'll win in Oregon or Washington State, although he believes he can.
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Kos
So let's see -- Indiana is in play. Oops. So is Virginia. Oops. And North Carolina. Oops. He also missed North Dakota and Montana, which while fading late, were certainly in play (and might still be thanks to recent economic developments), as was Alaska before the Palin pick. He also missed West Virginia, which is in play, and Georgia, which is looking more and more in play by the day.
At least he didn't give any credence to the McCain spin about Delaware (pre-Biden), New Jersey, Oregon and Washington.
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http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/4/10301/5279/174/619197