SurveyUSA Minnesota Poll: McCain 47%, Obama 46%

[Hope And Change]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0782fede-2757-4c86-9479-f84f02afc9fb

[Thrill]

1. uh yeah right

[AllentownJake]

2. Outlier

No way Minnesota is that close. Espicially after McCain disrespected their govenor.

[SuperTrouper]

4. LOL!! SUSA gets worse by the minute, just as bad a ARG

[geek tragedy]

3. Time to start hitting the airwaves there, Team O. n/t

[Renew Deal]

5. I don't see how the state that elected Wellstone and Ventura would vote for McCain.

It just doesn't seem likely.

[AllentownJake]

9. It isn't likely

Obama's been trending upward nationally. I don't see how he loses ground in a state Kerry won.

[TwilightGardener]

6. Weird. But, MN has a Repub gov and a Repub Senator, so I guess it's possible.

[Crowman1979]

11. Norm Coleman is up to his dirty tricks again!

Can't wait for Al to boot him out.

[No Elephants]

7. Exactly how numb dumb are some people?

[Schulzz]

8. I was worried at first whren I saw the poll, but...

Look at the last SUSA polls from MN and compare them to others.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mn/minnesota_mccain_vs_obama-550.html#polls

McCain is doing 10 about points better in every SUSA MN poll.

[AllentownJake]

12. They have McCain winning the economic debate

If so its the only place outside the deep south he is.

[Marsala]

10. At 538.com, some people looked at the internals and discovered they make no sense

McCain leads among women and young voters while Obama leads among the elderly?! Impossible. Bad poll.

[AllentownJake]

15. from the detail

Minnesota behaves unlike other states in some respects. Among women, there is movement to McCain, at a time when McCain is losing ground among women elsewhere. Among voters younger than Obama, there movement to McCain, at a time when Obama is consolidating support among young voters elsewhere. Among voters older than McCain, there is movement to Obama, at a time when older voters elsewhere are sticking by McCain. In Western MN, which abuts the Dakotas, there is movement to McCain. In Northeastern MN, which overhangs Michigan, there is see-sawing back to Obama.

Translation we conducted a bad poll.

[Hope And Change]

16. You are right.

[jpgray]

13. We went for Mondale, fuckers. We've got this

:P

Seriously though, this appears to be an outlier poll; it won't be this close on the day--trust me. Plus we have a very liberal same-day registration policy, which affects polling methodology on "likely voters" to some extent.

[still_one]

14. It is B.S Survey USA has not been the most accurate

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mn/minnesota_mccain_vs_obama-550.html


and I do not buy that from two days ago we lost that much

[Tatiana]

17. Obama will win MN.

This Coleman-Franken race does have me worried, however. If anyone can spare a little extra, please donate to Al Franken:

https://secure.alfranken.com/page/contribute

[weezie1317]

18. How is that possible????

[Teaser]

20. because polls are random samples

how many times does this have to be explained to people?

[seasat]

19. Good

If McSame's campaign buys that outlier, they'll move resources to Minnesota that could be used in Ohio or Florida. I doubt they will but with the poor campaign they've run it's not out of the question.

[Union Thug]

21. SurveyUSA 'respondents' in WA also declared McLame the winner

of the pres. debate.

SurveyUSA doesn't have much credibility.

[Robbins]

22. Survey USA

May I remind people during the Primarys they had Hillary winning Missouri by 12.Obama won by 1.
They had Hillary winning Indiana by 10 she won by 1.

Over here http://www.swingstateproject.com/
In talking about the senate race they are skepical about the Minnesotta numbers.

Survey USA In regards to Minnesotta look dead wrong.

[cyr330]

23. Oh yeah, right.. . .