Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 51 , McCain 40. Yesterday was the strongest single day Obama (+12).

[jefferson_dem]

10/3 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 51 , McCain 40
by DemFromCT
Fri Oct 03, 2008 at 04:35:05 AM PDT

Today's Daily Kos Research 2000 tracking poll has Obama up over McCain 51-40. All trackers are data from three days prior to posting, with the R2K numbers from today (yesterday's numbers in parentheses) and the other trackers from yesterday (previous day's data). LV=likely voter, RV=registered voter. (It may take a few minutes for internal data to post properly).

Today's trackers will have Tues-Thurs data and are the last of the pre-debate polls. They will not have included last night's event in St. Louis. Monday's polls will include Fri-Sat-Sun, all post-debate.

Obama McCain MoE +/- RV/LV
Today
Research 2000: 51 (51) 40 (40) 3 LV
Battleground: 50 (49) 43 (44) 3.5 LV

Yesterday
Rasmussen: 51 (51) 44 (45) 2 LV
Diageo/Hotline: 47 (47) 42 (42) 3.2 RV
Gallup: 48 (48) 43 (44) 2 RV

Marist: 49 (49) 44 (44) 3 LV

On successive days in the R2K poll, Obama was up +9 Tues, +11 Wed and +12 Thurs(MoE +/- 5.1 for individual days.) Yesterday was the strongest single day Obama has had to date.

The 60+ demo is now only 45-42 McCain (+3) whereas it was +15 McCain when we started. The 30-44 group, once +4 McCain, is now +7 Obama. Only Republicans And the South remain solid McCain.

Insta-polling, if you missed it was decidedly pro-Biden. CBS and CNN polling both gave the advantage to Biden and CNN noted no minds were changed on the Palin Presidency threshold:

Is Palin qualified to serve as president?

Yes

Before debate: 42
After debate: 46

No

Before debate: 54
After debate: 53

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/3/7355/76827/454/617884