Ugh. Guess what happens if Obama wins the Kerry states, plus NM, CO, and IA--but loses NH?

[Bicoastal]

269 to 269.

C'MON, GRANITE STATE!!

[WeDidIt]

1. If that happens, we most likely win

Right now, we hold 27 state delegations to the House. Alll indications are we will pick up two or three state delegations on November 4th.

So long as John McCain does not get 270 electoral votes, we win. It doesn't matter how that happens.

[still_one]

4. Absolutely, a tie means we win also /nt

[catgirl]

2. He's comfortably ahead in Ohio now

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

3. I thought that as long as he wins ALL Kerry states, plus one more, he wins!

If he wins all Kerry states, loses NH but adds NM and VA, it's over. I think he'll pick up CO, NM, NV, and VA. He also has a damn good chance of winning NC as well.

[nevergiveup]

5. We need Palin

to spend more time in New Hampshire. This should tip most "on the fence" Independents to Obama's side.

[OKNancy]

6. Obama will pick up the Gore states!

Kerry lost states he shouldn't have... like Iowa and New Mexico

[Aloha Spirit]

7. I'm pretty sure McCandyCain got a Palin bounce. Which will not end well.

PLUS Sununu will be devestated if they can effectively tie him to Bush SS privatization. Which should reflect on McCain's numbers a little.

PLUS NH just extended voting on election day (which includes same day registration) to 8 PM.

PLUS new party memberships have trended Democratic.

And the Democratic party is overall pretty fired up.

You might check out http://bluehampshire.com

Cheers!

[high density]

8. There was talk that Obama wants to try for 1 EV from Nebraska

I dunno how likely that is.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26627496/

[cali]

9. how does that work? He wins every Kerry state but NH which has

only 4 electoral votes, and wins IA, CO and NM and it's still a tie? Please explain.

[Bicoastal]

14. Don't take my word for it--

http://www.opinionjournal.com/ecc/calculator.htm

Test it out for yourself.

[nyc 4 Biden]

10. Why isn't there an odd number of EVs?

Wouldn't that make sense?

Come on, just give Hawaii one more. Fair is fair.

[Ioo]

11. Are you kidding, All the polls show he is winning MORE than Kerry states

[leftofcool]

13. And Kerry had a 12 point lead right up to the election

[cali]

16. total bullshit. a complete myth.

please don't pull crap out of your ass and tell us it's gold.

As anyone can see, Bush consistently led Kerry in the strong majority of polls throughout Sept and Oct of 2004- if only by a small margin.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_hth.html

[LiberalAndProud]

12. What happens if you add OH and FL to those other new states?

... and I DO NOT believe that NH will move to McCain. NO WAY!!

[Bicoastal]

15. Then it's a blowout for Obama, of course. And Virgina is more likely than either of those.

Still, I'm surprised I was able to come up with a tie vote so easily...