New ABC/WP presidential poll-Obama-50%-Mccain-46%

[Politics_Guy25]

ABC News/WaPo: Obama +4
New ABC News/Washington Post national poll conducted after the debate (Sept 27-29) shows that John McCain has picked up 5 points on Barack Obama during the last week, moving from a nine-point deficit to trailing by four:

Obama 50 (-2 vs. last poll Sept 19-22)
McCain 46 (+3)

According to the poll, McCain has regained the lead among key swing groups: Independents favor McCain by 3 (48-45), white women by 11 (54-43), and white Catholics by one (47-46). McCain is still holding on to 20% of Democrats who voted for Hillary Clinton in the primaries, while 70% are supporting Obama.

[Whalestoe]

1. I'm calling shenanigans!

Obama is down among a bunch of groups... yet still leads? Is that not confusing to anyone?

[DaveinMD]

2. just some noise

Its just a little weirdness in the sample. Don't worry about one poll, just keep looking at the overall trend.

[Politics_Guy25]

5. Yep-I agree-n/t

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

3. JSM

[HughMoran]

4. 9+4 = 13/2 = 6.5 - the average Obama lead

The other poll was an anomoly and they overcompensated.

[rockymountaindem]

6. How could Obama be behind in all those groups yet still be ahead?

That doesn't make any sense at all.

[Merlot]

7. I have tried my hardest to understand how anyone could vote for that ticket

Really, I've even watched as much of him (mcbush) as I could stand in the 60 minute interview. I understand why people voted for bushco. He was younger, and seemed congenial, and I think people could relate to him. But mcbush, I just think he's so goulish and scary, and ANGRY. I really don't know how people can seriously consider him. I know there are the di-hards, but the undecides?

I don't get it. Never will, probably better I don't.

[FVZA_Colonel]

8. How'd he regain the lead among white women and independents?

Something seems strange here.

[mvd]

9. Totally contrary to what other polls are saying

It's one poll, and while the margin might be closer than the 9 points, I don't buy the internals.

[FVZA_Colonel]

10. I did think 9 points might have been a bit too high.

But at the same time that McCain suddenly has such a huge lead on Obama among white women (especially) goes contrary to what every other poll has been saying.

[AzNick]

11. That sounds right, somehow...

I had a feeling this would happen, some people changing their mind and deciding that Obama would be a better president, and some of their friends, in horror, reminding them that he is a Muslim (or so they think).

Obama will be back up after the 2nd debate.

What matters is that he is in the lead and holds this lead, especially in the swing State.

Hopefully we can get rid of this silly college system and have the people elect the President, as should be.

[speedoo]

12. ABC/WP has had several wierd polls this year. I ignore them. nt