Obama Almost Back To Parity At Intrade-Hold Your Pants-McSame Now Tanking Like The Dow

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.intrade.com/

[Zynx]

1. Intrade is not nearly as reliable as people give it credit for.

I've seen the studies, but it doesn't matter. They just follow the bulk of polling data.

[geek tragedy]

2. Yep. Conventional wisdom.

If/when Gallup daily shows Obama ahead, his trade value will skyrocket.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Don't Look Now But Obama Passed Him

Perhaps issues or fundamentals and not personalities will assert themselves in this election...As long as the former asserts themselves we will win...If the latter assert themselves we will probably lose...IMHO,it's that simple...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. Which Is Wise

But a prudent gambler would follow current events and determine how those current events will affect the polls....

For instance, Patriots to win the SB isn't as sure a bet with Brady going down...

[scheming daemons]

6. It reflects the mood of the country...and is a good indication of who is "winning the week"

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. The "Wisdom Of Crowds"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds

[EV_Ares]

4. Well, I like it anyway, it is a guide and probably just as reliable as the daily tracking poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. I Watch It Closely

I suspect it's been right about 95% of the time in predicting the winner...I am referring to election eve odds...