Gallup Daily - McCain 48 (-1) Obama 43 (-1)

[WeDidIt]

Weirdness continues with Gallup:

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

1. I guess this will be the general dynamic until the first debate (Barring shocking news)

The first debate is less than two weeks away, right? I think Sept. 23

[Upton]

7. First debate is Sept 26

[jenmito]

2. Well, McCain did NOT hit 50% after his convention, unlike Obama.

Obama will rise again.

[HowHasItComeToThis]

3. GALLUP IS A REPUBLICAN SHILL

[dchill]

15. Their sample is slanted toward their desired result.

The polls are deliberately wrong.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/09/poll-madness-mccain-takes_n_125158.html

[d_b]

4. gallup has lost all credibility

assuming they ever had any.

[Upton]

5. Why such the big discrepancy between Gallup and Rasmussen?

[Sensitivity]

10. Remember MOE. But possible that Gallup sampe captured little more Indies -- moved to McCain

But their sampling might be more accurate that RAS -- which may have fewer Indies than they should.

[mzmolly]

6. They're still factoring in part of their "convention bounce" numbers.

This is a "three day rolling average" including Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. I'd be interested in the numbers from Tuesday. I think even Gallup will close the gap soon?

[texastoast]

8. Republican Gallup, right?

Aren't they a big puke company?

[mvd]

11. Biases can subconsiously get into numbers

Even if it's not deliberate. I'd like to know why Gallup is different than any other poll the last couple of days.

[texastoast]

16. Unless I'm mistaken

their numbers have been slightly more favorable to the McPalins. Please let me know if that is not right.

[mvd]

18. What I've noticed..

is they make weird "predictions" and have likely voter models that skew Repuke. Their tracking numbers haven't been unusual until now. If more had McCain up this much, something wouldn't look as wrong with Gallup.

[samuraiguppy]

9. cooked numbers n/t

[Phoonzang]

12. Why was Gallup right when they had Obama with a good lead but now they're wrong?

I mean is there actual evidence?

[WeDidIt]

13. Sure

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/9/18192/04144/290/592615

[Sensitivity]

17. Don't try to be rational.

[LynneSin]

14. Well this would suck IF WE VOTED USING THE POPULARITY METHOD!!!1

Now break that down by STATES!@!!

http://www.electoral-vote.com/