Throw out the USA Today outlier and what do you get? A tied race.

[Zynx]

After the Republican Convention, with all its fanfare, fear, and faux "change" all John McCain can muster is a tie. That's it. As more and more comes out about Palin and people settle back down after being drowned in Republican garbage for a week, Obama will take back a 3-4 point lead. That is all.

[yellowcanine]

1. I agree. Polls right after the conventions are relatively meaningless. Mondale was leading Reagan

by double digits after his 1984 convention. And we know how that one turned out.

[Zynx]

2. It was actually only a few points, but alas that's where we are now.