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The problem is that Iraq was an artificial construct in the first place when their territorial borders were decided upon arbitrarily by the British colonialists. When Iraq became an independent country, they retained those borders but the Shia, Sunni and Kurds that would have organically formed different countries were basically lumped together. With the removal of Saddam's dictatorship, which served as an effective stopper to all the tensions these 3 groups had, there was no wonder there was all this chaos that has erupted.
Now, our troops are in the middle of what is effectively, an Iraqi civil war between the Shia and Sunni. The Kurds voluntarily removed themselves from that conflict for the most part by segregating themselves and forming a pseudo country named Kurdistan with their own infrastructure complete with police and military. The problem is that unlike America, Iraq never chose to unite together to form a perfect union-- they were forced together. Also, American influence is basically now a pawn that is being fought over between the Shia and Sunni. Right now, the current dynamic is the Shia majority is basically dominating the Sunni minority. There are, of course, instances where these two sects are living together on the plebeian level but politically, there is a great deal of conflict between these two sects. Currently, American diplomacy is to try to use American intelligence and resources to bribe the people in power to make nice but it's not really working very well. Despite the "success" of the surge, it's just going to erupt again because with Americans in the mix, one side is just too overly empowered to commit atrocities and perpetuate violence.
Also, with American troops here, we make a good scapegoat for the people who need one. Most of the violence is really between Iraqis but they can basically blame US for being here and causing all this violence. In pulling out, they lack that excuse anymore and perhaps, they will degenerate further (we had that conflict in the Civil War but we held together because we are a UNION) or else they might realize that they need to work things out.
That's how I feel. I sympathize because I used to belong to the whole "We should probably stay there until we fix it again" but it's not possible to fix because there's no way for us to turn back the clock on Iraq-- we can only hope to have them make something of themselves that's different and unique to Iraq. That's all.
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