Obama's lead grows in Gallup daily tracking poll

[mvd]

He's keeping that 3-5 point lead.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109408/Gallup-Daily-Obama-47-McCain-42.aspx

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

1. I don't know why people trash national polls. They consistently show a big Obama win.

5% popular vote equals an electoral college landslide these days.

[mvd]

2. Next time I won't post unless it's beyond 5 or..

tied again, but I wanted to post how Obama's lead seems pretty solid to me right now, despite how Gallup spins it.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

4. I wasn't criticizing you! I love all poll posts.

I was just anticipating the torrent of replies that all poll posts get saying national polls are bullshit which I assume come from people who don't recognize that nobody is going to crack 40% or 60%, and that 5% represents an electoral college win of about 150.

If you post Obama is up 150 in the electoral college people love it. Say he's up 5% nationally and folks think it sounds small. But it's the same.

[mvd]

5. I didn't think you were

I like the poll posts, too. I look for trends from multiple polls rather than one single poll. That's why I made that statement.

Thanks for posting. :hi:

[Drunken Irishman]

8. Yup.

Everyone thinks for Obama to net a solid win he has to be up by 10+ points in national polls. Not true, a 5+ point lead will almost certainly equal a blowout in the electoral college.

Remember, Clinton won 370 electoral votes, yet only bested George Bush by 6-points nationally.

[applegrove]

3. Whoo HOO! I think obama has been keeping his powder dry so far

and we have yet to see the race heat up. I cannot wait.

[TexasObserver]

6. Obama's are all 44-49. McCain's are all 40-44.

That's a four or five point spread on average.

And I think Gallup's polls tend to overselect McCain's voters.

Also, McCain's 40-44% is an average national number. In 10 states he has right at double digit leads, so he's getting hammered in all but about 15-20 states.

[barack the house]

7. Let's wait till the convention I expect he will break 50 points from here.

[Shine]

9. The upcoming convention and debates will change everything.

:popcorn:

[ailsagirl]

10. Here's a list of the different polls-- Obama is ahead in all

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

But I'm appalled it's so close...

[ailsagirl]

11. KICK