Is it safe to assume all of these polls don't include...

[vi5]

people who are just registering now or this year? Aren't most of them based off of previous voter registration? I could be wrong about that. But it would seem if that is the case then there could be a rather large upset depending on who the newly registered are leaning towards.

Is this stating the obvious or am I missing something?

[Cha]

1. I think people keep forgetting about these

"voters"..thanks for the reminder.

[canuckybee]

2. I was wondering the same thing

Glad you asked.

[Dookus]

3. Polling -

at least GOOD polling - is randomized. The people who receive calls do so because a random phone number generator using valid exchanges creates a list of possibly valid phone numbers. They are called and the first few questions would decide whether to continue the poll, e.g., Are you registered to vote?

If a sizable number of new registrations is taking place, they should be reflected in the poll numbers.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

4. Yes, when they say 'likely voters'

they are automatically discarding anyone who just registered. When they say 'registered voters' they should be included.

[FloridaPat]

5. Michael Moore mentioned this on Bill Maher's show. You are

correct - they are not included in the polls. Only people who have voted recently.