Poster over at Kos is saying Obama's Veep is Daschle. Fits Bush picking Cheney

KoKo

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Wed Jul-30-08 07:48 PM
Original message

Poster over at Kos is saying Obama's Veep is Daschle. Fits Bush picking Cheney

Edited on Wed Jul-30-08 07:55 PM by KoKo01

and that OBAMA is the ONE and doesn't really even need a VP Pick to enhance any of his qualities.

Says Daschle would be the one because he's managed Obama's Campaign from beginning and won't "outshine" or distract from his Candidacy.

What do you think? :shrug: (no way in hell for me)...because Daschle is like Harry Reid..."a wimp" and his wife and he are now big time lobbyists on the Hill. But, hey...maybe it could work. He sure fits into the "meek and mild mannered" wimp version of some past Veeps...but WHAT IF...he became another CHENEY!

Here's post on Kos Diary about it:

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http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/7/30/10502/7248/367/559001

Veepstakes Cattle Show
by Trapper John
Wed Jul 30, 2008 at 07:50:03 AM PDT

I was going to term this a cattle call, because I love writing cattle calls, but in the end I realized that I had no plans to actually rank the candidates. I'll leave that to you guys, as I know that there's no quadrennial summertime pastime more fun and popular than BSing about who the presidential nominees are planning to tap for Vice-Presidential purgatory. No, instead of ranking the candidates, I wanted to put in writing the reasoning that's led me to conclude that -- when it's said and done -- Barack Obama is very possibly going to select . . .

Tom Daschle.

Now before you throw me off a cliff, let me state two things: 1) this isn't who I want to get the nod -- it's my prediction as to whom Obama will pick, and; 2) I have a minor track record in this sort of thing, as my GOP cattle calls stuck with McCain's chances of winning the nomination long after he was written off by the bigfoot pundits. That said, I recognize that this one is a call from deep left field. But bear with me.

I start from the premise that Barack Obama doesn't need anyone to make his candidacy complete. He's already up in the polls, both nationally and in key states. Intrade has him at a 63% likelihood of winning, and Nate Silver has him at 67%. But more importantly, he knows that he's a bona fide, no-joke rock star. He doesn't need a charismatic running mate. He doesn't need a missing piece, someone who implies that Barack Obama is something other than all that and a bag of chips. Hell, I think he'd run solo, if the Constitution and practicality allowed him to do so. The Obama campaign is all about Barack Obama -- it simply doesn't need that brand altered in any way.

So as a threshold matter, I just don't see Obama going with anyone who has any real downside. He doesn't need to take risks in picking a veep, because he can't expect any individualized reward from a veep. No individual candidate can bring enough to the ticket to justify a trade-off. Consequently, it follows that Obama is going to take the Hippocratic ("first, do no harm") approach to picking a running mate. That eliminates a host of the big names that you see folks floating -- first and foremost, the Senators with Republican governors. Chris Dodd, Jack Reed, and Evan Bayh all hail from states with GOP executives. If one of them becomes VP, we lose a Senate seat. Obama's legacy will in large part depend on being able to overcome filibusters to move his agenda. He can't afford to lose any Senators. And not one of them is so special, so critical to the success of the campaign, that it's worth giving up the seat.

Similarly, I think he's unlikely to pick Tim Kaine, whose lieutenant governor is an arch-conservative Republican. It's taken the Democratic party 40 years to get to the point where it's a majority party in Virginia -- I just can't see willingly handing over the governor's mansion to a Republican, even if it is for only one year. And for what? Kaine's not necessarily that helpful in Virginia, as Silver pointed out yesterday. I mean, Tim Kaine's a great guy and everything, but does any marginal improvement that he adds to Obama's campaign offset the damage of coronating a Republican governor in Richmond? I doubt it.

more at.........
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/7/30/10502/7248/367/559001