OK, so what is the Rethugs stragey for November?

[JDPriestly]

Besides the usual racism, sexism, pseudo-religious goop.

Here is my current theory -- incomplete and ever changeable.

1) Oil prices will be reduced. They have been raised artificially. They won't go as low as they were when Bush took office or even anywhere near that amount, but they will be lower. The 2-year deal that the oil companies have managed to force on Iraq will be credited. The Republicans will argue that the war was worth it and that we should stay if we want low oil prices. Will the American people fall for this? I don't know, but Obama needs to be prepared. He won't be able to run on high oil prices. It is too easy for the Republicans to manipulate this aspect of the economy (as they have been doing these many years).

2) Bush will push to get Bin Laden. If Bin Laden is dead, Bush will go after the stronghold of Bin Laden's camps and the Taliban. I believe this push has already started. I fully support taking military action against the terrorists and violent religious extremists of all kinds including the Muslim terrorists. But Obama needs to be very careful on running on Bush's failure to "get Bin Laden." Assuming Bin Laden is still alive, Bush/McCain could score huge points if Bush reels the bad guy in any time between now and November.

Obama's statements on oil prices and on Bin Laden need to be very carefully thought through.

If I were a Republican, I would recognize that these are two really sore points with the American people, and I would focus my efforts on them. We should not rely on the idea that the oil prices (and the war) or the failure to capture Bin Laden will be the big winning issues in November.

What is your guess at likely Republican strategy?

[bbinacan]

1. Lie, cheat, steal. n/t

[AndyTiedye]

2. Attack Iran, and Say That We Can't Change Horses in Mid-Crusade

along with the usual mix of fear, voter supression, and outright election fraud.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

3. same old terror stuff

wouldn't surprise me that they'll try another 9/11

people need to keep an eye on them

[anonymous171]

4. Remember how before the 2004 and 2006 elections gas prices went down?

Then went right back up afterwards.