A Look at States Where Kerry Has Improved

[cal04]

Democrat John Kerry has gained ground on President Bush in several states in recent weeks, while independent Ralph Nader remains a factor.

Here are some states where Kerry has edged ahead. Numbers are percentages:

FLORIDA (Quinnipiac University)

Aug. 5-10: Kerry 47, Bush 41, Nader 4

June 13-27: Bush 43, Kerry 43, Nader 5

MICHIGAN (Epic/MRA)

(Running mates John Edwards, the Democrat, Dick Cheney, the Republican and Peter Camejo, the independent, were added in the August Epic/MRA poll)

Aug. 4-10: Kerry-Edwards 49, Bush-Cheney 42, Nader-Camejo 3

July 6-8: Kerry 46, Bush 43, Nader 3

NEW HAMPSHIRE (American Research Group)

Aug. 3-5: Kerry 49, Bush 42, Nader 2

July 19-22: Kerry 47, Bush 45, Nader 3

PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac University)

July 6-11: Kerry 46, Bush 41, Nader 5

June 21-22: Kerry 44, Bush 43, Nader 7

Method for most recent state polls:

--Florida Quinnipiac poll of 1,094 registered voters taken Aug. 5-10 has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

--Michigan poll by Epic/MRA of 600 likely voters taken Aug. 4-10 has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

--New Hampshire poll by American Research Group of 600 likely voters taken Aug. 3-5 has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

--Pennsylvania Quinnipiac poll of 1,577 registered voters taken July 6-11 has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/national/AP-Gaining-Ground-Glance.html

[Feanorcurufinwe]

1. In which states has Bush improved?

lol

[NewYorkerfromMass]

3. Arizona according to some polls.

I don't have them handy.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

4. Arizona polls

Arizona
Date 	Pollster	        Kerry 	Bush 	Nader
Aug 1 	Market Solutions	45 	48 	0
Jul 18 	Arizona State Univ.	42 	41 	0
Jul 14 	Survey USA	        36 	48 	0
Jun 27 	Arizona State Univ.	35 	47 	2
Jun 19 	Market Solutions	41 	44 	2
May 23 	Arizona State Univ.	38 	43 	2
http://www.electoral-vote.com/pastpolls.html#Arizona

I do not detect a clear trend in Bush's favor.  Market
Solutions - unchanged 3 pt lead.  Arizona State - 5 pt lead,
12 pt lead, then a 1 pt deficit.  

[Trajan]

2. Kerry appears to be averaging 6% points in that snapshot ...

Excellent ....

The Bush Bots MUST be shitting in their size 5 rattlesnake boots ...

No wonder the masterful orator Feckless Cheney has brought out the 'big insults' ..... They need to try to make an impact on the positiveness of the Democratic Message ...

It isnt going to work: The GOP already have the red meat disciples in their camp: the slapdashing negativity DOESNT WORK on the moderate independents ...

Poor Feckless: Can't smash his way into office ....