Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

What I really like about Sam Yang's Princeton site (election likelihood)

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 02:38 PM
Original message
What I really like about Sam Yang's Princeton site (election likelihood)
http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

Not only that he is in accord with the esteemed truthisall, but also that he provides some new answers to the crucial question asked on DU every now and then, but answered well so infrequently: WHO DO I GIVE MY MONEY TO NOW?

There are other answers, of course, but here is Princeton Sam's take:

"I originally did this calculation to help think about how to allocate my campaign contributions. I believe that one can make the biggest difference by donating at the margin, where probabilities for success are 20-80%. To read a discussion click here. Since trends are in Kerry's favor and the Senate is within reach, I recommend that Democrats give to the DSCC and to the Senate campaigns of Inez Tenenbaum (D-SC), Betty Castor (D-FL pre-primary), and Chris John (D-LA). Note: Since Tony Knowles (D-AK) is ahead in 8 of the last 9 polls, he currently fails my 20-80 test.

For those of you still wanting to reinforce the national election (see the bias analysis below), I recommend the voter registration and turnout organization America Coming Together. For the optimists there is the DCCC. "
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
swag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. so, following Sam's advice
I just made my first donation to DSCC:

http://www.dscc.org/
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Tue May 07th 2024, 03:41 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC