** Obama Delegate Countdown 108 to nomination *** 14.5 to pledged del majority

[grantcart]

Here are Super Delegates from today

5-20-08 - Added Rep. Madeleine Bordallo (GU) for Obama
- Added DNC Scott Brennan (IA) for Obama
- Added Massachusetts add-on Martha Coakley (MA)# for Clinton

[rocktivity]

1. That means he needs only 29% of KY to clinch!

He now has 44% with 22% reporting.

:headbang:
rocknation

[catgirl]

2. Thanks grantcart

[grantcart]

3. gallup

[phrigndumass]

9. +14 is great!

There's a cloud of dust behind it.

[grantcart]

4. CNN gives Obama 11 delegates 97 to nomination 3.5 for pledged majority

[phrigndumass]

5. We might not need Oregon, Kentucky will do it for him! lol

:woohoo:

[rocktivity]

8. DING DING DING! Phrigndumass, you're our grand prize winner!

We might not need Oregon, Kentucky will do it for him!

That's my dream scenario--After WV, I would consider his clinching the delegate lead in KY to be poetic justice. He needs only 29% of the vote for the 15 delegates he needs to clinch. Anything above that is gravy.

:headbang:
rocknation

[phrigndumass]

Poetic indeed! lol ...

:rofl:

[myrna minx]

16. LOL.

THAT is a delicious victory. :woohoo:

[rocktivity]

40. MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!!!

Post your Congrats HERE!!!

:bounce:
rocknation

[Maribelle]

6. Some delegates MSM reports as pledged are not pledged yet. Caucus delegates from Texas, for example

These delegates will not be officially 'pledged' until the Texas State Convention, and not one day before.

[grantcart]

7. We are intimately aware of how state conventions allocate seats

you are free to start a thread with whatever pledged counts you want. Ours reflects those that are used by all independent counters including GP AP and DCW.

[Kukesa]

10. That's good enough for me, grantcart. n/t

[Maribelle]

11. Your '14.5 to pledged del majority' is wrong.

It reflects a lack of knowledge of the correct process.


Get it yet?

[grantcart]

12. I refuse to assist you in your embarassing yourself publicly any further

the numbers I reported are widely quoted and CNN also reported it

You can follow the numbers on DemconWatch the most authoritative source in all delegate matters

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/03/ultimate-delegate-summary.html

Your whole premise is absurd because it assumes that there is some formal 'pledging' mechanism. All that pledging means is that the candidate who has won the seat gets to chose the delegate.

Using your logic we couldn't actually count the delegate numbers until the convention.

To date two 'pledged delegates' have gone against the campaign that chose them - Clinton campaign.

Senator Obama being the gentleman he is is not counting, and our numbers do not include these two pledged Clinton delegates who are now publicly committed to Senator Obama.

You really are not well informed about what you are talking about but if you feel that you have a case to make then please start a thread on how thread on your personal understanding of the numbers for pledged delegates.

[TheDoorbellRang]

22. Are you playing the math card, again?

:D

[Zhade]

27. It's their desperation talking. I can't wait until this is over.

Then we can get to the business of helping Obama kick McLame's ass!

[goclark]

15. You can count for me anytime grantcart

Help me out.

What will he be able to say when he speaks tonight?

I'll keep watching this thread ~ can I pop the cork on the champagne yet?:bounce:

What will the SPINNERS be able to say to HC when Obama finishes talking in Iowa?

[grantcart]

17. What ever he says he will take the high road and make us admire him even more

[goclark]

24. My Tivo is Fired Up and Ready to Go!

K and R

[myrna minx]

13. K&R n/t

[ClayZ]

14. K and R

[grantcart]

18. MSNBC allocates 14 delegates .5 left

[Ichingcarpenter]

21. I heard that and 8 delegates haven't been decided in Kentucky

The bizarre loophole of delegates... as Hillary believes.

[grantcart]

19. demconwatch who uses GP

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/05/kentucky-and-oregon-primary-results.html

[grantcart]

20. Obama number now 94 .5 pledged del majority

[phrigndumass]

23. Over the mark!

:woohoo: :party:

[goclark]

25. Please spell it out for me

:crazy:

[grantcart]

28. here you go

1) he needs one more delegate to win the majority of pledged delegates

2) we know that he is going to get 100 more delegates - another 40 tonight from KY/OR and more from spliting SD MT and PR

3) we know that he is going to get about 20 add on delegates from add on states that he dominated

4) we know that he is going to get more Edwards delegates

5) Based on known delegates he is going to get the nomination



At the end of tonight he is going to be about 40 delegates short of the nomination

[goclark]

45. GO GO Obama!

[phrigndumass]

37. To add to what grantcart said ...

I'll spell it out for all of us :D

S - T - E - V - I - E

♫ Signed, Sealed, Delivered ... ♫

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inXC_lab-34

:headbang:

Majority of the pledged delegates!

[goclark]

44. Here he is babe ! Signed sealed delivered ~ he's OUR Nominee!

:bounce:

[Zhade]

26. So close to official. I'm getting very excited.

NT!

[Ichingcarpenter]

30. With 30% of the vote he goes over the top

even with 29% he goes over the top in Kentucky.

[ThatsMyBarack]

29. Are we there yet? Are we there yet?

Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet?

[phrigndumass]

31. I thought I told you to go to the bathroom before getting in the car!

Now settle down, or I'll get the Folgers can out. Stop fidgeting!

:D

[ThatsMyBarack]

46. ...

:rofl:

[Kittycat]

32. Do we know what time Obama will speak?

[Ysabel]

35. 10 o'clock eastern...

- that's what KO said a few minutes ago...

[grantcart]

33. CNN GIVES HIM MAJORITY OF PLEDGED DELEGATES

[Zhade]

34. YEAH!!! GOBAMA, our nominee!

Woohoo!

[Ysabel]

36. k and r...

[grantcart]

38. magic number for nomination 92

[CalGator]

39. Can he win tonight?

53 pledged available out of OR, I believe. Assuming he gets 60% of those, that's 30-35 more delegates to the total, bringing his magic number down to 60 or so. If he has word from that many supers that they will vote for him (and he has said he has enough), then maybe he can actually announce tonight.

A guy can hope, can't he?

[rocktivity]

41. He can announce RIGHT NOW--with OR polls still an hour from closing

Obama's 30% of KY has earned him the 15 pledged delegates he needs to clinch the delegate lead. The OR results will therefore be icing on the cake. Cut the vonage theme, and post your congrats here!

:woohoo:
rocknation

[grantcart]

42. he will need about another 50 suer delegates

[grantcart]

43. MSNBC Obama less than 70 away

[grantcart]

47. The magic number is now 63

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/01/super-tuesday-delegate-tracker.html

[phrigndumass]

48. Hillary's magic# is 245

with 298 left, according to DCW. 82.21%

[grantcart]

49. That is why it is called a 'magic' number