As my 1000th post, I am calling this: Congratulations on your nomination Barack Obama ! ! !

mythyc

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Tue May-20-08 06:19 PM
Original message

As my 1000th post, I am calling this: Congratulations on your nomination Barack Obama ! ! !

Edited on Tue May-20-08 06:28 PM by mythyc

Today Barack Obama will earn more then enough pledged delegates to win a healthy majority of pledged delegates.

We all know it, but to play out the proofs and show how it's all culminated in today I give you:

DCW lists this majority at 1627; with Obama starting the day off at 1612.5, my projected gain for him of about 52 out of the 103 at stake in Oregon and Kentucky brings his insurmountable lead to (give or take a couple delegates) 1654.5

With the majority of pledged delegates, Obama also automatically claims the 8 official members of the Pelosi Club, who pledged to cast their superdelegate votes behind the will of the people as represented by the national majority in pledged delegates. Together with the OR/KY pledges, this brings Obama's overall delegate count up to 1969 total delegates.

By most projections and according to the trends of history, the delegates who are pledged to a candidate who drops out almost always cast their votes in favor of the whomever that candidate endorses. Of Edward's 19 pledges, all 10 who have announced their votes have done so in Obama's favor. For this reason, I project that the 9 remaining pledged Edwards delegates will go to Obama's numbers, which brings BO up to a total of 1978 total delegates.

And finally, though it has not been made official, DCW lists a range of inside sources which indicate that the lion's share of the remaining 206 superdelegates will also uphold the Pelosi club's commitment to the will of the people. Among the many projections out there, by my judgments CA DNC "Mr. Super" superdelegate Ed Espinoza's scrupulously documented enumeration of most of the uncommitted supers favoring the pledged delegate victor, SC representative James Clyburn's assertion that well more than a majority of super will uphold the will of the people by endorsing the pledged winner, and supporting statements of this kind from a number of other both committed and uncommitted supers to this effect (for this, read the comments on the DCW Pelosi Club blog, with many links to statements along these lines from supers across the board).

These things considered, we can project with certainty that Obama will reach an overall majority of 2025 within about a week to a week and a half tops.

:applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause:

* * * * * *

In anticipation of HRC supporters who do not accept a vote that excludes MI and FL I remind that the leader in official pledged delegates controls the Credentials Committee and therefor has the final say on how these delegates are to be seated. This will be Obama whether or not FL or MI are seated, meaning this is a moot talking point. These delegates will be seated, and even if seated as is, even if the "uncommitted" Michigan pledged delegates are not awarded to Obama (a joke, of course they will be), Obama still comes out ahead. DU expatriate FlyingSquirrel has posted a meticulous an airtight quantitative analysis verifying and authenticating this fact for anyone as OCD with the stats and data as he and I ;) .

* * * * * *

We all know these numbers, these facts already. Everything else that's happening right now is just choreography to unite the party, court the Clinton base, and amuse the MSM and masses. A lot of us, a whole lot us!, have been waiting patiently and anxiously for this day when the numbes finally authenticate what we've known since Wisconsin; unless you're a Rovian abacus:

Senator Barack Obama has secured the Democratic Nomination!!!!!!!

Time to Party!!!!!!!!!1!!!

:applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :applause:

B-)

:party:

:toast:

:bounce:

:smoke:

:hug:

:pals:

:headbang:

:woohoo:

oh yeah! :smoke: