What kind of bounce can we expect for Bush from the RNC?

[elperromagico]

The four presidents in the last 40 years who have won reelection - LBJ, Nixon, Reagan, and Clinton - never trailed their opponents in polling IIRC, so any bounce they received from their conventions probably didn't have any real effect on the election other than to solidify their support.

You would have to go all the way back to Truman in 1948 to find an incumbent president who was trailing his opponent and was helped to victory by a strong convention speech (and a vigorous campaign). But George W. Bush is not Harry Truman. He lacks both the guts and the integrity for that. And Truman had a Congress, controlled by the opposition, that he could blame for a lot of the nation's troubles. Bush doesn't have that either.

So what about the incumbents who lost? What about Ford, Carter, and Bush 41? What kind of bounces did they get from their conventions? Clearly the bounces weren't enough to reelect them. But what can we expect from the historical precedents their campaigns provide?

[Crachet2004]

1. He is bound to get a small bump, but I would say it won't be as good as

WE just got. All they have to peddle is fear of terrorism and war. And even if they are right, and the economy is recovering-which I at least do not believe for even one minute-what does it matter if no good jobs are being created?

And he has NO PLAN for the future...by definition, conservatives believe govt. should stay out of everything.

So. Arnold and all the rest will tell a few lies, subtly spread fear, and put their main faith in a controlled media and BBV.

[elperromagico]

2. The recovery is like a man who goes to Vegas

and loses $1,000 at the crap tables. He finds a $10 bill on the Greyhound heading back home... and calls it a recovery.

[DrFunkenstein]

3. What Bounce Will They Get From Dragging Out Cheney?

They're going to see Guiliani and realize that Bush is no Guiliani (who sucked as mayor pre-9/11) and that the "Hollywood elite" are fine as long as they are Austrian Governors.

[meow2u3]

4. Maybe one off the Brooklyn Bridge?!

hee hee hee hee hee....Ain't I a stinker? :evilgrin: :evilgrin: :evilgrin: :evilgrin: