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Edited on Fri Jul-30-04 03:45 AM by stopbush
It should start slowly and build through the fall, but it should start soon.
This is NOT going to be a close election. The sense of a Kerry landslide being inevitable will not only win the WH, it has the potential of winning back the Senate. Once voters have turned the corner against * and have decided to vote *for* Kerry, the case can be made that without a sympathetic Congress, Kerry will be hamstrung. If the polls show a major shift toward Kerry, then the Dems must target Congress.
Of course, Kerry/Edwards and those nearest the top of the ticket will take the "we're taking nothing for granted...we don't read the polls" tact, but the strategy should be to lame duck * as early as possible so the people will be crying for a major correction on November 2. Anything over a 52-53% win by Kerry will be considered a landslide and a mandate.
BTW - this scenario plays right into the media biases as they believe that people don't change and history has a way of repeating itself. Ergo, * Jr losing after sky-high approval ratings is a re-run of his dad's loss in '92, while Kerry coming from behind to wipe out the heir-apparent juggernaut is reminiscent of the Howard Dean coronation/implosion. They'll see the parallels and run with it.
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