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I'm bad at math....someone explain this to me

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Monty__ Donating Member (352 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:23 PM
Original message
I'm bad at math....someone explain this to me
According to CNN, after last night pledged delegates are

Obama 1,588
Clinton 1,419

With current supers:

Obama 1,842
Clinton 1,686

According to CNN there are 217 pledged delegates in the remaining states. Assuming the Super delegates stay about where they are now, and let's just assume the delegates from FL and MI are seated. Is there any mathematical chance Clinton can get to 2,025?
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:27 PM
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1. If you include MI and FL
the number changes from 2024.5 to 2208.5. But regardless the number of remaining pledged delegates still exceeds the gap between Obama and Clinton, so on a purely theoretical basis she could still have more.
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bain_sidhe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:29 PM
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2. quibble...
IF Florida and Michigan are seated, the magic number goes up to 2,200+ (I don't remember the exact number, but it's a little over 2,200) because the magic number is half of the voting delegates.

Aside from that, no, I still don't think there's any mathematical chance that Clinton gets to the magic number. Although, there also isn't a mathematical chance that Obama does either--both need superdelegates to put them over the top. The difference is that Obama only needs a few of the remaining supers, and Clinton needs a lot of them.
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Just-plain-Kathy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:35 PM
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3. Could it be Hillary has become the new Anna Nicole or Lindsey Lohan , ...
....she’s the new blonde distraction?

If Hillary dropped out of the race now, the media would have to focus more on issues like the war and how Bush wants to make sure we're funding it long after he leaves the White House.
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