Time-tested formulas suggest both Bush and Kerry will win on Nov. 2

[DaveSZ]

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/president/2004-06-23-bush-kerry-cover_x.htm

Time-tested formulas suggest both Bush and Kerry will win on Nov. 2
By Susan Page, USA TODAY


WASHINGTON — The winner of this year's presidential election is already obvious.

It's Republican George W. Bush.

Unless it's Democrat John Kerry.

Of six measurements for predicting the outcome of presidential contests, all with excellent track records, each signals a clear outcome in November. The problem is, they're pointing in different directions.

A formula by a Yale University economist that has correctly predicted five of the last six elections shows President Bush winning in the biggest landslide since Ronald Reagan's 49-state victory in 1984. It says Bush is a shoo-in.

[trumad]

1. This guys measurements are based on GDP..LOL

How about measuring it to Job's? This guys a hack

[mhr]

2. Hi Dave, FactCheck.org is probably a Republican Shill Site

You might want to remove it from your Sig line.

Search DU for the information on Ed Gillespie's comments.

[trumad]

3. Factcheck certainly has it's bias...

http://verities.typepad.com/main/2004/01/watching_the_de.html

[22181]

4. Funniest thing about that Yale formula...

They say they predicted five of the last six elections. Hahahah if you read the little table it shows that the two elections they got wrong:

1. GB the elder's re-election - they said it was a sure thing. It wasn't.

2. Al Gore's election of 2000 - they predicted it. Sure he won technically, but seems to me they didn't factor in the GWB Criminal Factor on that one.