Rasmussen poll in North Carolina: Obama 51% Cliton 37%

[HannibalBarca]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/

Edit: 62% of Dems in NC believe Obama will be eventual nominee.

[rndmprsn]

1. K&R

gobama

[gateley]

2. Somebody reported earlier he was only up by 5%.

Not sure what the source was.

This sounds much more realistic.

GOBAMA!

[my3boyz]

3. It was SUSA. Susa has always showed his lead smaller than other polls. nt

[SoCalDem]

5. Cherry picking season's upon us..

There is always a poll somewhere that shows a totally different result from all the rest,.. I like RCP because it's an AVERAGE of all the polls.. although I wish they would also do a "throw out the high & low" and then average it..

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_primaries.html

[MattNC]

11. they should take the median n/t

[Hippo_Tron]

13. I agree except sometimes there are only 2 or 3 polls out

When there are outliers and you have a large enough sample, the median is better, though.

[HannibalBarca]

8. I find Real Clear Politics to be the best

they average out the polls so you can get a more accurate (but not perfect mind you) idea of where the candidates lie in terms of numbers. The poll that had the margin +4 or 5 for Obama is obviously an outlier and people clearly have their reasons for posting them which is why I usually ignore it.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nc/north_carolina_democratic_primary-275.html

RCP poll of polls for North Carolina.

[gateley]

12. Yes - and they show

the individual polls they culled their info from.

:hi:

[goclark]

4. Thanks so much!

[chill_wind]

6. interesting.

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Tar Heel Democratic Primary Voters say that Clinton should drop out of the race. Twenty percent (20%) say the same about Obama. These figures are close to the national average.

[Maddy McCall]

7. Rasmussen also says that Clinton now leads in popular vote! Thanks for the link!

[HannibalBarca]

9. kick

kick

[powergirl]

10. Yeah! Thanks for the good news

I also love this quote from the article. If you were a gambling man/woman, who would you gamble on?

"Rasmussen Markets data just prior to the release of this poll showed Obama was heavily favored to win the North Carolina Primary. Current prices show that Obama has a 91.7% chance of winning while Clinton is given a 9.5% chance of victory."


:woohoo: