CNN just reported this poll, and I have a question about it

[frickaline]

They claimed that regardless of who wins the primary, neither candidate has a better chance (1% difference) to beat McCain.

My question is where do they get their numbers from? Which polling agency do they use or is it their own internal statistics? How can I trace back their claim?

Thanks in advance for any insight.

[frogcycle]

1. "their own internal statistics"

does that mean they pulled it out of their ass?

'cause that is probably about right...

[Spazito]

4. LOL, worse than their ass even, they depend on Bill Schneider, a right wing shill...

to pull it out of their ass for them!!

:rofl:

[FlyingSquirrel]

7. That is a DUzy right there

:)

[Barack_America]

2. Stay tuned!

:eyes:

[rpannier]

3. One place that's not bad to go to is...

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

They follow all the polls and put them together for tracking purposes.

I have no idea where CNN gets their info from.

As a guess...Tony Snow???

[frickaline]

13. thanks for the link

do you know where this information comes from? They don't seem to state that on the page.

[rpannier]

15. Click Data Galore

That will take you to the different races Senate, President, etc

Then click on Senate, House, etc

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Info/datagalore.html

[frickaline]

16. wow nice ... exactly what I was looking for, thanks so much

[FSogol]

5. Grover Norquist emails the results to the MSM daily, along with a

list of daily talking points. Karl Rove pipes in from time to time. Why do you think the right wing and their pundits always have the same message and use the exact same terms?

[SteveM]

6. Manufactured issue by MSM...

Polling for the general election in Spring of the same year is meaningless. Dukakis led George Bush I by double digits fresh off his nomination, then collapsed. And we are supposed to believe that one Democrat is "more likely" to beat McCain than another, now?

lapel flag pins. Black Panthers. Reverend Wright. "More likely" to win or not. Stamped out (but at least not in China) issues.

[SoCalDem]

8. They pull them out of their..um.. you know n/t

[Jamastiene]

9. Hell, I don't know. Maybe you should ask them.

They have contact links. Use those. How would any of us know?

[frickaline]

10. seriously, if you haven't anything useful to add, just don't.....

my god, ask an honest question around here and what do you get ...

[rox63]

11. November is a long way off

Numbers like that right now are pretty meaningless.

[frickaline]

14. that's exactly why I wanted to know where it is coming from on their side

it seems no one knows so I guess its not an odd thing to wonder.

[Captain Hilts]

12. IGNORE. I was in polling for eight years. IGNORE. nt

[redqueen]

18. Correct!

:)

[Carrieyazel]

17. They've got it about right. (Which is rare). In the pop vote, both are even w/McCain..

For all of the differences between them, Hillary and Obama's flaws, vulnerabilites, strengths and weaknessess all seem to even out. He's got his critical flaws, as does she. He does better in certain states, and she does better in other states. Both have identical domestic policy records. Both candidates are also serious risks for our party's shot at getting the WH back. Both should have been way ahead of McCain during the entire primary season, and they haven't been.

Hillary is +1 over McCain and Obama is +2 in today's Rasmussen Tracking Poll. It's a wash.

[TragedyandHope]

19. This is the "pulling numbers out of thin air"

(or "pulling numbers out of their a**") school of polling.

With the real race so far away and three candidates still in the race, these national General Election polls are meaningless right now.

Once we are down to one candidate per party, the race will shift gears and I expect McCain's numbers to plummet when people see what he really has to offer (nothing).