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Obama currently has about a 20% lead over Clinton in North Carolina.

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elocs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 05:52 PM
Original message
Obama currently has about a 20% lead over Clinton in North Carolina.
If he wins by 9 or 10% can he still tout it as a great victory? Will the media proclaim it a great victory or will they call it a disappointment since he so recently had a big lead? I was just wondering if this works both ways.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. The latest SUSA poll has it at 50-41
Nice try.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I actually trust PPP on this one, even though they got last night very wrong
They are based out of NC. He just needs to win here.
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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Survey USA is just one outfit
Real Clear Politics has Obama up at 15.5
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elocs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. I am an Obama supporter also, so I don't need a "nice try".
Whatever the current difference may be, my point, evidently missed, is that if Obama only wins by half of what he once was ahead in North Carolina (it recently was 20%), then will that still be considered a great victory.
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. They will call it an upset. I bet you a $100 (donated to O campaign)
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
5. It will be a great victory in that she will need 74% of the vote in every remaining state
to pull even with him.

It would be an even greater victory, of course, if he beat her by 20 points, pushing her up to 76% for every remaining state. :patriot:
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BuyingThyme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 06:04 PM
Response to Original message
7. Is that a small state?
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thevoiceofreason Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 06:16 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. Not too far from Pennsylvania. Isn't it 115 pledged delegates?
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NeedleCast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 06:05 PM
Response to Original message
8. Yes and No
If Obama only wins NC by single digits I'd consider it disappointing. At the same time, even if he loses by 10 (which isn't going to happen), it doesn't change the delegate math very much.

Additionaly, there are a grand total of zero states where Hillary has trailed in the polls and come back to win.
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datopbanana Donating Member (938 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 06:12 PM
Response to Original message
9. Obama is on pace to raise $25,920,000 today!!!!!!!!!!
I donated $300 between 4:09 29 seconds and 4:09 30 seconds.

Meaning $300 per second, $18,000 per minute, 1,080,000 per hour, and $25,920,000 per day!!!!!!!
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